Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 38

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Alexandra Stadium (Crewe)


	Crewe Alexandra		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.75
	1.73	3.7	4.4
	1.78	3.75	4.33
	1.76	3.89	4.72
	1.76	3.89	4.72
	1.73	3.8	4.33
	1.75	3.82	4.36	Watch
	1.69	3.7	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)	3.79 ↑ (3.73)	4.49 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
54.1%

Draw
24.9%

Sutton United
21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.7%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Crewe Alexandra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Sutton United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.3%	11.8%	2.9%

Crewe Alexandra - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: Crewe Alexandra will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.38% – 97.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Booth T. (G) 3. Adebisi R. 12. Turns E. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 4. Williams Z. 8. Thomas C. 25. Austerfield J. 10. Tracey S. 11. Tabiner J. 30. Kirk C. 9. Baker-Richardson C.	25. Arnold S. (G) 23. Jackson R. 4. Sowunmi O. 22. Kizzi J. 3. Adom-Malaki S. 31. Lakin C. 16. Clay C. 7. Coley J. 10. Beautyman H. 27. Moore D. 9. Smith H.
Substitutes
28. Billington L. 2. Cooney R. 1. Davies H. (G) 24. Finney C. 14. Leigh L. 20. Nevitt E. 21. Rowe A.	50. Duke-McKenna S. 15. Eastmond C. 42. Hart S. 30. Kerbey M. 8. N'Guessan C. 38. Sanderson O. 35. Taylor J.
Coaches
Bell L.	Morison S.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Crewe is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
09.03.24	Doncaster Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Crewe Alexandra - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
24.02.24	Notts County - Crewe Alexandra	1:3 ✺
17.02.24	Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town	0:0 ✺
13.02.24	Stockport County - Crewe Alexandra	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LLWTW
- Sutton United
English League Two
09.03.24	Sutton United - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Tranmere Rovers - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
27.02.24	Notts County - Sutton United	3:4 ✺
24.02.24	Sutton United - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Bradford City - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
28.11.23	Sutton United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1
04.03.23	Sutton United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1
16.08.22	Crewe Alexandra - Sutton United	1:0

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