Match Info

Serie B - Round 26

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Criciúma		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	1.86	3	5	Watch
	1.93	2.95	4.20
	1.92	2.92	4.4	Watch
	1.99	3.17	4.69
	1.95	3.1	4.39	Watch
	1.96	3.1	4.55
	1.93	3.04	4.45	Watch
	1.92	3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.84)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	4.51 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
48.4%

Draw
30.8%

Cuiabá
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

29.7%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

31.3%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Criciúma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Criciúma - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Criciúma (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (8.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (6.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Airton (G) 37. Cesar Martins 3. Rodrigo (C) 34. Bruno Alves 97. Willean Lepo 14. Ronald Lopes 8. Gui Lobo 22. Marcelo Hermes 91. Otero R. 13. Waguininho 77. Diego Goncalves	1. Joao Carlos (G) 13. Joao Basso 5. Calebe Costa 33. Alan Empereur 2. Igor Inocencio 30. Raul (C) 20. David Miguel 36. Lorenzo 11. Eliel 77. Jean Dias 90. Fabio Gomes
Substitutes
88. Caue Santos 5. Eduardo 31. Hiago Alves 10. Jhonata Robert 21. Joao Carlos 6. Marcinho 9. Nicolas 70. Pedro Santos (G) 11. Romarinho 43. Ruan Carvalho 50. Thiaguinho 33. Yuri Tanque	12. Busatto G. (G) 14. Eric Melo 41. Kauan Cristtyan 91. Luis Soares 97. Luiz Otavio 23. Marcos Junior 7. Ramon 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 29. Vinicius Peixoto 70. Wesley Dias 53. Weverson
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista	Barros E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Willean Lepo ⚽, Rodrigo (A),
29', Bruno Alves 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fabio Gomes ↓, Rodrigo Rodrigues ↑,
46', Eliel ↓, Kauan Cristtyan ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Joao Basso (Own goal),
62', Otero R. ↓, Eduardo ↑,
62', Jean Dias ↓, Vinicius Peixoto ↑,
62', Igor Inocencio ↓, Ramon ↑,
72', Alan Empereur ↓, Weverson ↑,
75', Gui Lobo ↓, Romarinho ↑,
75', Waguininho ↓, Yuri Tanque ↑,
81', Eduardo 🟨,
84', Diego Goncalves ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
84', Ronald Lopes ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1.

Criciúma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cuiabá is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Criciúma is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Criciuma: 5.88% Cuiaba: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	6	53
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47

Last Results with these Odds

Criciúma - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.83%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.26	CRB Maceio - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Criciúma - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Botafogo SP - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Criciúma - Goiás	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Athletic Club - Criciúma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTWL
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
29.08.26	Botafogo SP - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Cuiabá - Goiás	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Cuiabá - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Ceará - Cuiabá	1:3 ✺
09.08.26	Cuiabá - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
02.05.26	Cuiabá - Criciúma	1:1
23.11.25	Cuiabá - Criciúma	1:0
29.07.25	Criciúma - Cuiabá	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
31.08.24	Cuiabá - Criciúma	2:1
09.06.24	Criciúma - Cuiabá	2:5
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.19	Cuiabá - Criciúma	0:0
27.04.19	Criciúma - Cuiabá	0:1

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