The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Criciúma 39.4%
Draw 34.3%
Juventude 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.7%
29.6%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
30.8%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Criciúma's form might have worsened.
Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Criciúma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Criciúma - Juventude Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Airton (G) 37. Cesar Martins 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Luciano Castan 97. Willean Lepo 14. Ronald Lopes 8. Gui Lobo 22. Marcelo Hermes 91. Otero R. 13. Waguininho 77. Diego Goncalves
93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 47. Marcos Paulo 13. Aderlan 8. Lucas Mineiro 44. Mandaca 16. Diogo Barbosa 75. Rai Silva 11. Fabio Lima 25. Alisson Safira
Substitutes
34. Bruno Alves 88. Caue Santos 7. Fellipe Mateus 31. Hiago Alves 41. Jean Irmer 10. Jhonata Robert 6. Marcinho 9. Nicolas 70. Pedro Santos (G) 11. Romarinho 50. Thiaguinho 33. Yuri Tanque
9. Alan Kardec 28. Alan Ruschel 17. Castro M. 29. Gabriel Pires 5. Luan Martins 72. Lucas Alves 10. MP 7. Pablo Roberto 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Rai Ramos 3. Titi 6. Wadson
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista
Mauricio Barbieri
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Mandaca 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
60', Mandaca ↓, MP ↑,
60', Fabio Lima ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
61', Luciano Castan 🟨,
61', Alisson Safira 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Alan Kardec ⚽, Aderlan (A),
68', Diego Goncalves ↓, Yuri Tanque ↑,
68', Gui Lobo ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Marcos Paulo ⚽, Aderlan (A),
78', Waguininho ↓, Caue Santos ↑,
78', Alisson Safira ↓, Gabriel Pires ↑,
81', Aderlan 🟨,
83', Willean Lepo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
84', Otero R. ↓, Romarinho ↑,
85', Rai Silva ↓, Titi ↑,
85', Aderlan ↓, Wadson ↑,
89', Wadson 🟨,
90+5', Fellipe Mateus 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 1.
Criciúma has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Juventude is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Juventude may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Criciúma could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Criciúma: Eduardo
(Yellow Cards)
Fellipe Mateus
(Inactive)
Luciano Castan
(Inactive)
There will not play in Juventude: Allanzinho
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Juventude: Amarilla L.
(Inactive)
Messias
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
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Airton (G) 
Otero R. 
Castro M. 
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