Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 34

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Criciúma		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.4	5.5
	1.65	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.69	3.4	5.09
	1.65	3.56	6.63
	1.65	3.3	6
	1.65	3.44	6.05	Watch
	1.66	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)	3.44 ↑ (3.01)	5.71 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
56.5%

Draw
27.1%

Sampaio Corrêa
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

30.8%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

30.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Criciúma's performance.

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Criciúma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+2%)

Criciúma - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 13. Jonathan 3. Rodrigo (C) 14. Matheus Mancini 22. Marcelo Hermes 8. Arilson 88. Barreto 7. Fellipe Mateus 27. Claudinho 31. Hygor 23. Eder	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 5. Lucas Mota 14. Icaro 3. Rafael Jansen 6. Para (C) 8. Ferreira 21. Neto Paraiba 10. Robinho 17. Riquelmo 13. Alyson Neves 22. Vinicius Alves
Substitutes
25. Alisson (G) 2. Cristovam 18. Crystopher 11. Fabinho 9. Felipe Vizeu 100. Helder Santos 21. Joao Carlos 19. Lohan 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 42. Miqueias 4. Rayan	7. Claudinei 15. Eloir 9. Getterson 4. Gustavo Henrique 11. Henrique 16. Joao Diogo 2. Mateus Pivo 20. Mauricio Maranhao 12. Thiago Braga (G) 18. Thiaguinho 19. Vitinho
Coaches
Tencati C.	Fernando Marchiori

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Criciúma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Criciúma is a favorite.

There will not play in Criciúma: Tony (Injury)

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Mikael (Injury) Neto Paraiba (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
21.10.23	CRB Maceio - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
13.10.23	Criciúma - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Criciúma - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	Juventude - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
22.09.23	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWLL
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
20.10.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
28.09.23	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
19.09.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
01.07.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Criciúma	0:2
17.09.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Criciúma	1:1
07.06.22	Criciúma - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1
24.11.18	Criciúma - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0
04.08.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Criciúma	0:1
23.09.16	Criciúma - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
10.06.16	Sampaio Corrêa - Criciúma	1:0

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