Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 34

Date: 20 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Fanatiz, Sport 2 Baltic


	Criciúma		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.5
	2.15	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.17	3.27	3.77
	2.12	3.26	3.69	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.11	3.42	3.51	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.2)	3.3 ↑ (3.29)	3.52 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
44.4%

Draw
28.7%

Vitória Salvador
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.6%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	35.7%	14.3%

Criciúma - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 27. Claudinho 3. Rodrigo (C) 29. Figueiredo T. 22. Marcelo Hermes 6. Ronald Lopes 8. Newton 7. Fellipe Mateus 17. Matheusinho 11. Bolasie Y. 9. Felipe Vizeu	1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 27. Caceres R. 77. Neris 4. Wagner Leonardo (C) 16. Lucas Esteves 28. Ricardo 29. Willian Oliveira 30. Matheuzinho 96. Carlos Eduardo 9. Alerrandro 7. Gustavo Mosquito
Substitutes
25. Alisson (G) 2. Allano 45. Arthur Caike 20. Dudu 88. Gustavo Barreto 50. Jhonata Robert 13. Jonathan 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 85. Patrick de Paula 28. Pedro Rocha 35. Serginho 33. Walisson Maia	25. Bruno Uvini 43. Edu 36. Filipe Machado 39. Janderson 10. Jean Mota 8. Leo Naldi 5. Luan Silva 22. Muriel Becker (G) 62. Pablo 14. Patric Calmon 97. Willean Lepo 17. Ze Hugo
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Thiago Carpini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Willian Oliveira 🟨,
26', Claudinho 🟥,
31', Felipe Vizeu ↓, Dudu ↑,
45+4', Bolasie Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Matheusinho ↓, Allano ↑,
46', Gustavo Mosquito ↓, Janderson ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Janderson ⚽, Matheuzinho (A),
69', Caceres R. ↓, Willean Lepo ↑,
73', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
75', Ricardo ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
79', Willean Lepo 🟨,
82', Bolasie Y. ↓, Pedro Rocha ↑,
83', Ronald Lopes ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
83', Willian Oliveira ↓, Leo Naldi ↑,
84', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
90+7', Wagner Leonardo 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 2.

Recent matches Criciúma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vitória is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Criciúma will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vitória: Caio Vinicius (Injury) Camutanga (Injury) Osvaldo (Injury)

There are questionable in Criciúma: Gustavo (Thigh Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:19 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie A
09.11.24	Cruzeiro - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Internacional RS - Criciúma	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Criciúma - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Botafogo RJ - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
03.10.24	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTTW
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
09.11.24	Vitória Salvador - Corinthians	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Vitória Salvador - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Vitória Salvador - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
07.07.24	Vitória Salvador - Criciúma	2:1
Brazilian Serie B
08.10.23	Criciúma - Vitória Salvador	1:0
11.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Criciúma	0:1
15.10.19	Criciúma - Vitória Salvador	1:1
19.07.19	Vitória Salvador - Criciúma	2:0
08.09.15	Criciúma - Vitória Salvador	2:3
02.06.15	Vitória Salvador - Criciúma	2:1

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