Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 8

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)


	Londrina		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3	4
	1.87	3.1	4.2
	1.91	3.2	4.55
	1.91	3.08	4.56
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.86	3.14	4.17	Watch
	1.94	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.98)	3.09 ↑ (2.95)	4.2 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
48.6%

Draw
29.6%

Sampaio Corrêa
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

31.1%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

29.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arthur (G) 9. Daniel Amorim (C) 7. Henrique 11. Iago Teles 3. Joao Maistro 8. Kady 6. Mauricio 10. Rafael Longuine 4. Rayan Ribeiro 5. Taua 2. Thiago Ennes	1. Felipe (G) 9. Breno Almeida 8. Gazao 4. Itambe 5. Jhonata Varela 7. Joao Felipe 2. Lucas Lopes 10. Marcelinho 3. Onwudiwe F. 11. Pimentinha (C) 6. Thiago Rosa
Substitutes
16. Caio Roque 22. Calyson Rosa 20. Danielzinho 13. Davi 24. Everton 12. Gabriel Felix (G) 18. Geferson 15. Martha 17. Pedro Cacho 14. Pedro Jorge 21. Riquelmy 19. Samuel Andrade	20. Adauto 32. Alan (G) 22. Claudio Cebolinha 19. Edrean 16. Escuro 14. Fabio Aguiar 15. Ferreira 21. Gabriel Silva 13. Mauricio Maranhao 18. Nadson Mesquita 17. Thiaguinho
Coaches
Claudinei Oliveira	Ze Augusto

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Kady ⚽,
37', Jhonata Varela 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jhonata Varela ↓, Escuro ↑,
46', Marcelinho ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
56', Rafael Longuine 🟨,
59', Rafael Longuine ↓, Calyson Rosa ↑,
62', Joao Felipe ↓, Claudio Cebolinha ↑,
62', Breno Almeida ↓, Edrean ↑,
67', Ze Augusto 🟨,
69', Claudio Cebolinha 🟨,
69', Thiago Rosa 🟨,
70', Kady ↓, Martha ↑,
76', Pimentinha ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
77', Joao Maistro 🟨,
78', Joao Maistro ↓, Davi ↑,
79', Henrique ↓, Pedro Cacho ↑,
79', Daniel Amorim ↓, Everton ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Everton ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Londrina won 3.

Recent matches Londrina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sampaio Corrêa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Londrina is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Londrina won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Londrina won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
01.06.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Londrina	1:0 ✺
26.05.24	Londrina - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
19.05.24	Londrina - São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	ABC - Londrina	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Londrina - CS Alagoano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTWWT
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie C
01.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Remo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
29.05.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
25.05.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.05.24	Fluminense - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.24	CS Alagoano - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.09.23	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
07.06.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina	2:0
05.11.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina	2:1
19.07.22	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
03.10.21	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1
03.07.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina	1:0
20.10.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Londrina	1:2

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