Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 29

Date: 19 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Referee: da Silva Machado B. (Bra)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.85	Watch
	2.93	2.76	3.03
	2.6	2.7	2.7
	2.72	2.94	2.86	Watch
	2.8	2.65	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)	2.77 ↓ (2.85)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
33.8%

Draw
33.7%

Vila Nova
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

32.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

33.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Sampaio Corrêa - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Mateus Pivo 14. Icaro 3. Rafael Jansen 6. Para (C) 5. Mikael 21. Neto Paraiba 10. Robinho 11. Pimentinha 23. Ytalo 19. Vitinho	25. Denis Junior (G) 2. Leo Duarte 5. Rafael Donato (C) 3. Doma 6. Rodrigo 8. Ralf 23. Igor Henrique 10. Lourenco 77. Guilherme Parede 11. Juan Christian 19. Caio Dantas
Substitutes
13. Alyson Neves 7. Claudinei 15. Eloir 8. Ferreira 4. Gustavo Henrique 20. Mauricio Maranhao 9. Nadson Mesquita 16. Riquelmo 17. Samuel Santos 12. Thiago Braga (G) 18. Thiaguinho 22. Vinicius Alves	18. Cristiano 17. Everton Brito 7. Gustavo Maia 91. Henrique Almeida 14. Jean Pierre 20. Luciano Naninho 22. Marcelinho 16. Marquinhos Pedroso 9. Neto Pessoa 15. Sousa 1. Vanderlei (G)
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Marquinhos S.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vila Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Henrique (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
16.09.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	ABC - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Guarani	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Juventude - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTTT
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
15.09.23	Vila Nova - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
08.09.23	Ituano - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Vila Nova - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
22.08.23	Criciúma - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
17.08.23	Vila Nova - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.06.23	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0
25.08.22	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0
14.05.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Vila Nova	2:0
11.11.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Vila Nova	3:0
07.08.21	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	0:2
21.08.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Vila Nova	0:0
28.04.18	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1

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