Match Info

WORLD: WORLD CUP - PLAY OFFS - 3RD PLACE

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Khalifa International Stadium (Doha)

Referee: Al Jassim A. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Belgium	Een, RTBF
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3, Nova
Cameroon	CRTV
Czech-republic	Nova Action
Denmark	TV2
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Magenta Sport
Malaysia	Astro
Norway	NRK
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Slovenia TV2
Switzerland	SRF


	Croatia		Morocco

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	3
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.35	3.65	3.1
	2.34	3.45	3
	2.34	3.59	3.13
	2.35	3.3	3
	2.32	3.5	3.08
	2.38	3.55	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.3)	3.49 ↑ (3.47)	3.05 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Croatia
41.1%

Draw
27.5%

Morocco
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.6%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

28.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Morocco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croatia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50.8%	22.8%	26.4%

Croatia - Morocco Predictions

Users Predictions: 197 users predict this event. Croatia will win (votes: 100 - 50.8%). Morocco will win (votes: 52 - 26.4%). It will Tie (votes: 45 - 22.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Croatia: 43.8% – 57.8%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Croatia has not chance of 1st place, was already of 2nd place, was already of round of 16, was already of quarter-finals, was already of semi-finals, has not chance of final, has not chance of win world cup.

Morocco was already of 1st place, has not chance of 2nd place, was already of round of 16, was already of quarter-finals, was already of semi-finals, has not chance of final, has not chance of win world cup.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Croatia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Croatia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Croatia
FIFA World Cup
13.12.22	Argentina - Croatia	3:0 ✺
09.12.22	Croatia - Brazil	2:1 penalties ✺
05.12.22	Japan - Croatia	1:2 penalties ✺
01.12.22	Croatia - Belgium	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Croatia - Canada	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LWWTW
- Morocco
FIFA World Cup
14.12.22	France - Morocco	2:0 ✺
10.12.22	Morocco - Portugal	1:0 ✺
06.12.22	Morocco - Spain	1:0 penalties ✺
01.12.22	Canada - Morocco	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Belgium - Morocco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
23.11.22	Morocco - Croatia	0:0

Croatia - Morocco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide