Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Parma		Crotone

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.25	4.6
	1.88	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.87	3.15	4.2
	1.91	3.4	4.75
	1.8	3.25	4.6
	1.87	3.48	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.81)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)	4.48 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Parma
50.6%

Draw
28.4%

Crotone
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

26.5%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

21.1%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Parma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Parma - Crotone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Parma has the most likely position - 8 (10.88%), has project points - 56, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (45%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Crotone has the most likely position - 18 (21.5%), has project points - 35, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Parma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crotone is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crotone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Parma is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Parma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
21.01.22	Parma - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
19.12.21	Alessandria - Parma	0:2 ✺
12.12.21	Parma - Perugia	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Ascoli - Parma	0:0 ✺
01.12.21	Parma - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTTL
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie B
22.01.22	Como - Crotone	1:1 ✺
18.12.21	Crotone - Pordenone	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.12.21	Udinese - Crotone	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
10.12.21	Cremonese - Crotone	3:2 ✺
04.12.21	Crotone - SPAL	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
24.04.21	Parma - Crotone	3:4
22.12.20	Crotone - Parma	2:1

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