Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 34

Date: 21 April 2023, Friday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)

Referee: Meraviglia F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Reggina		Brescia

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	4	Watch
	2	3.2	3.8
	1.91	3.2	4.4
	2.04	3.3	4.24
	1.95	3.2	4.2
	1.99	3.32	3.94	Watch
	2.04	3.15	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.81)	3.22 ↓ (3.35)	4.05 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
47.3%

Draw
29.3%

Brescia
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27.8%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

27.3%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Reggina - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Reggina will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Brescia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggina: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 7 (21.96%), project points - 55, currently - 49, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (83%), a very small chance of promoted (5%), not chance of win league.

Brescia has the most likely position - 19 (29.9%), project points - 37, currently - 32, a good chance of relegated (88%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 26, importance 33, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Reggio Calabria is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Reggio Calabria won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
15.04.23	Benevento - Reggina	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Reggina - Venezia	1:0 ✺
05.04.23	Perugia - Reggina	1:3 ✺
31.03.23	Genoa - Reggina	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Reggina - Cagliari	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWLL
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
15.04.23	SPAL - Brescia	2:2 ✺
10.04.23	Brescia - Ternana	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Ascoli - Brescia	4:3 ✺
18.03.23	Brescia - Genoa	0:3 ✺
11.03.23	Venezia - Brescia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.12.22	Brescia - Reggina	0:2
06.05.22	Brescia - Reggina	3:0
15.01.22	Reggina - Brescia	0:2
16.03.21	Brescia - Reggina	1:0
05.12.20	Reggina - Brescia	2:1
10.05.14	Reggina - Brescia	1:1
07.12.13	Brescia - Reggina	2:1

Reggina - Brescia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide