Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 38

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ezio Scida (Crotone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Crotone		Latina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.25
	1.68	3.4	3.8
	1.63	3.96	4.52	Watch
	1.65	3.2	5
	1.59	3.72	4.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)	3.61 ↓ (3.91)	4.5 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Crotone
54.8%

Draw
25.1%

Latina
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

23.5%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

23.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Latina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latina than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Crotone - Latina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crotone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Crotone will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Merelli D. (G) 63. Veltri A. 6. Di Pasquale D. 72. Cocetta N. 25. Guerra W. 21. Sandri M. 7. Vinicius 80. Bruno K. 11. Energe A. 10. Musso A. 96. Zunno M.	67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 32. Parodi G. 6. Calabrese B. 72. Vona A. 2. Ercolano E. 24. De Cristofaro A. 30. De Ciancio R. 36. Lipani J. 10. Riccardi A. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 97. Parigi G.
Substitutes
13. Armini N. 9. Gomez G. 23. Groppelli F. 27. Maggio M. 19. Marazzotti F. 14. Meli M. 76. Paciotti G. (G) 75. Pierangeli L. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 18. Piovanello E. 17. Russo D. 74. Terrasi G. 77. Vrenna M.	1. Basti M. (G) 77. Cioffi A. 27. D'Angelo S. 66. De Marchi D. 18. Dutu E. 20. Fasan N. 21. Hergheligiu D. 22. Iosa A. (G) 11. Pace F. 5. Pellitteri A. 3. Porro M. 9. Sylla Y. 70. Tomaselli G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Bruno K. ⚽,
17', Musso A. ↓, Russo D. ↑,
19', Vona A. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Russo D. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Di Giovannantonio G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Bruno K. ↓, Marazzotti F. ↑,
46', Parodi G. ↓, De Marchi D. ↑,
59', Riccardi A. ↓, Fasan N. ↑,
59', Di Giovannantonio G. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
66', Sandri M. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
66', Energe A. ↓, Vrenna M. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Fasan N. ⚽,
76', Vona A. ↓, Dutu E. ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Parigi G. ⚽,
85', Merelli D. ↓, Pio Martino A. ↑,
90+3', Di Pasquale D. 🟨,
90+3', De Ciancio R. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 4, Parigi G. ⚽,
90+7', Mastrantonio D. ↓, Iosa A. ↑,
90+10', De Cristofaro A. 🟨,
90+11', 2 - 5, Calabrese B. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 15).

Crotone is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 2.

Crotone is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Latina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Latina has had a series of home games.

In this match, Crotone is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Crotone won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Last Results with these Odds

Crotone - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.36%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.26	Casarano - Crotone	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Crotone - Catania	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Giugliano - Crotone	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Crotone - Audace Cerignola	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Sorrento - Crotone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWT
- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.26	Latina - Casertana	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Latina - Casarano	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Audace Cerignola - Latina	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.04.26	Latina - Potenza	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
28.03.26	Latina - Catania	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
21.12.25	Latina - Crotone	1:1
29.03.25	Crotone - Latina	4:0
17.11.24	Latina - Crotone	0:4
10.03.24	Crotone - Latina	1:3
04.11.23	Latina - Crotone	0:0
25.03.23	Latina - Crotone	2:2
27.11.22	Crotone - Latina	1:0

Upcoming Matches