Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 24

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Comandante Andrés Guacurarí (Garupá) 🌤️ ...


	Crucero del Norte		9 de Julio

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	6
	1.4	3.5	7.5
	1.53	3.5	7.57
	1.5	3.7	6.7	Watch
	1.49	3.65	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (2)	3.63 ↑ (2.85)	6.83 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crucero del Norte
61.6%

Draw
25.1%

9 de Julio
13.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

31.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

30.6%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crucero del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crucero del Norte's performance.

9 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 9 de Julio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crucero del Norte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 9 de Julio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Crucero del Norte - 9 de Julio Predictions

Users Predictions: Crucero del Norte will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Crucero del Norte is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

9 de Julio is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Crucero del Norte is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Crucero del Norte won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Crucero del Norte won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crucero del Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.07.23	Sol de América de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Crucero del Norte - Boca Unidos	1:3 ✺
16.07.23	Juventud Antoniana - Crucero del Norte	0:0 ✺
02.07.23	Crucero del Norte - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
28.06.23	Crucero del Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLTTW
- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.07.23	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
23.07.23	General San Martín de Formosa - 9 de Julio	2:1 ✺
14.07.23	9 de Julio - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:1 ✺
09.07.23	Central Norte - 9 de Julio	3:2 ✺
28.06.23	Sol de América de Formosa - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.06.23	9 de Julio - Crucero del Norte	2:1
16.04.23	Crucero del Norte - 9 de Julio	2:1

Crucero del Norte - 9 de Julio