The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 68.5%
Draw 19.1%
Crucero del Norte 12.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
26.5%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.6%
25.4%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo's performance.
Crucero del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Crucero del Norte Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Def Belgrano VR (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alcorcel A. (G) 9. Bertacin J. 5. Camano J. 8. Cartechini J. 6. Gay F. 2. Hertel L. 7. Latof B. 4. Monzon L. 10. Perez L. 3. Pezzani F. 11. Rodriguez A.
1. Romero M. (G) 6. Amaya M. 11. de Olivera P. 4. Duarte C. 9. Golomba N. 3. Narvaez P. 2. Orellana L. 7. Roa Meza J. J. 10. Santa Cruz M. 5. Silva L. 8. Vera J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Perez L. ⚽,
28', Rodriguez A. ↓, Olego M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Camano J. ↓, Ramos M. ↑,
46', Amaya M. ↓, Monges S. ↑,
63', Silva L. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Santa Cruz M. ⚽,
65', Perez L. 🟨,
68', Latof B. ↓, Principiano L. ↑,
68', Bertacin J. ↓, Marnini N. ↑,
69', Silva L. ↓, Aguirre H. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Perez L. ⚽,
85', Perez L. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
85', Roa Meza J. J. ↓, Bueno ↑,
87', Monzon L. 🟨,
90', 3 - 1, Vega A. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 1.
Def Belgrano VR has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Crucero del Norte is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Def Belgrano VR is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Def Belgrano VR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
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Alcorcel A. (G) 
Duarte C. 
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