Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Round 14

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday


	Defensores de Pronunciamiento		Sportivo Las Parejas

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.15
	3.25	2.95	2.2
	3.36	2.86	2.23
	3.36	2.74	2.23
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.32	2.97	2.18
	3.3	2.8	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.83)	2.87 ↓ (2.91)	2.19 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Pronunciamiento
27.4%

Draw
31.4%

Sportivo Las Parejas
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

31.1%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

31.6%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Pronunciamiento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Sportivo Las Parejas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Pronunciamiento than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Pronunciamiento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Las Parejas than the current prediction. (-5%)

Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sportivo Las Parejas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Leineker C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 2.

Defensores de Pronunciamiento is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sportivo Las Parejas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensores de Pronunciamiento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sportivo Las Parejas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Pronunciamiento won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Pronunciamiento
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.06.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	3:0 ✺
02.06.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sportivo Belgrano	0:3 ✺
26.05.24	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	3:0 ✺
19.05.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
15.05.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTT
- Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.06.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:1 ✺
19.05.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
15.05.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Douglas Haig	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
21.04.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:1
24.09.23	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:0
29.07.23	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sportivo Las Parejas	3:1
04.06.23	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	0:1
09.04.23	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:3
24.08.22	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	0:0
15.05.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:1

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