Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 2

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Comandante Andrés Guacurarí (Garupá) 🌤️ ...


	Crucero del Norte		Independiente Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.65	2.7
	2.88	2.48	2.81
	2.81	2.66	2.81	Watch
	2.88	2.3	3
	2.73	2.72	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (1.83)	2.56 ↓ (3.24)	2.8 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crucero del Norte
32.4%

Draw
35.3%

Independiente Chivilcoy
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.5%

27.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

26.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crucero del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crucero del Norte's form might have worsened.

Independiente Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Chivilcoy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crucero del Norte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Chivilcoy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Crucero del Norte - Independiente Chivilcoy Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind Chivilcoy will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Crucero del Norte has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Independiente Chivilcoy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Independiente Chivilcoy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Crucero del Norte will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crucero del Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
21.07.24	Unión de Sunchales - Crucero del Norte	5:0 ✺
07.07.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	3:1 ✺
30.06.24	Crucero del Norte - Unión de Sunchales	0:0 ✺
23.06.24	Boca Unidos - Crucero del Norte	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Crucero del Norte - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
21.07.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:1 ✺
30.06.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0 ✺
23.06.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLTL

Crucero del Norte - Independiente Chivilcoy