Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez (Concepción del Uruguay)


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay		Sarmiento de Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.25	5.25
	1.6	3.15	5.5
	1.6	3.3	5.66
	1.63	3.3	5.88	Watch
	1.58	3.15	5.6
	1.6	3.22	6.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	5.65 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
56.2%

Draw
27.9%

Sarmiento de Resistencia
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

27.6%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

26.7%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rebora E. (G) 5. Altamirano L. 9. Bogado M. 4. Casares J. 8. Favre A. 10. Germanier N. 6. Laumann F. 11. Lebus N. 2. Palladino T. 3. Rocca F. 7. Rodriguez J.	1. Acuna D. (G) 8. Almiron C. 3. Derewicki J. 2. Dominguez F. 6. Gimenez C. 9. Ibanez M. 10. Maidana C. 11. Martinez D. 5. Martinez P. 7. Pared M. 4. Ulibarri G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gimnasia y Esgrima is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.09.26	Boca Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTWWT
- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.09.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Tucuman Central	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	0:3 ✺
12.08.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Atlético Escobar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:2
11.08.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:0
24.08.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:1
15.05.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0
10.09.21	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0
07.06.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:4
07.12.19	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:1

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