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Current Win Probability
Crusaders 12.1%
Draw 18%
Larne 69.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
13.1%
18.4%
68.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.6%
17.6%
71.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Crusaders - Larne Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Callister S. (G) 4. Blaney J. 11. Dunlop E. 8. Jewitt-White H. 3. Kelly G. 22. McKay R. 18. Reid A. 14. Rocks D. 5. Rough S. 15. Wardell O. 6. Weir R. (C)
1. Ferguson R. (G) 26. Bent D. 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 15. Doherty R. 4. Donnelly A. 6. Gallagher C. 22. McEneff J. 21. Millar L. 9. O'Neill P. 3. Ridley M. 47. Simpson J.
Substitutes
42. Anderson L. 43. Barr L. 17. Bond K. 12. Doherty J. 27. Maguire T. 23. McCart O. 16. Williamson J.
16. Carney J. (G) 45. Gibson M. 7. McKendry C. 8. Randall M. 27. Sandiford G. 25. Sloan D. 17. Ukek J.
Coaches
Caddell D.
Haveron G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Doherty R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 2, McEneff J. ⚽,
73', Weir R. ↓, Williamson J. ↑,
73', Rocks D. ↓, Doherty J. ↑,
73', Jewitt-White H. ↓, Anderson L. ↑,
75', Gallagher C. 🟥,
86', Simpson J. ↓, Randall M. ↑,
87', Millar L. ↓, Sandiford G. ↑,
87', Kelly G. ↓, Bond K. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Sandiford G. ⚽,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5th in the Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 4th in the Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 1.
In recent outings, Crusaders has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Larne is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Crusaders may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Larne holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Crusaders has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:32 (averaging 0.9:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Crusaders against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with 8:20 goals (averaging 0.8:2 per game).
United Kingdom
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Callister S. (G) 
Blaney J. 
Jewitt-White H. 
Kelly G. 
McKay R. 
Bent D. 
Sandiford G. 
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