Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 July 2023, Thursday

Location: Seaview (Belfast)

Referee: Petrik J. (Cze)


	Crusaders		Haka

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	3.4	Watch
	1.83	3.4	3.9
	1.84	3.4	4.4
	1.88	3.4	4
	1.87	3.39	4.02
	1.87	3.6	4.05
	1.9	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.35)	3.53 ↑ (3.3)	3.97 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crusaders
50.2%

Draw
26.4%

Haka
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crusaders's performance.

Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	26.3%	10.5%

Crusaders - Haka Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Haka will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crusaders: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Tuffey J. (G) 14. Forsythe J. 20. Larmour D. 15. O'Rourke J. 2. Burns B. (C) 25. Clarke R. 22. Heatley P. 8. Kennedy B. 23. McKeown R. 7. Lowry P. 9. Lecky A.	12. Hakala A. (G) 3. Friberg N. (C) 25. Herbert A. 4. Auvinen E. 18. Mahuta R. 7. Whyte O. 6. Sihvonen A. 15. Purme T. 11. Rogerson L. 9. Lescano J. 10. Zarokostas S.
Substitutes
42. Anderson L. 28. Boyd J. 4. Callacher J. 17. Kennedy M. 41. Kerr R. (G) 18. Owens J. 24. Robinson J. 21. Smith M. 11. Teelan J. 6. Weir R. 1. Williamson J. (G) 19. Winchester J.	21. Bah-Traore H. 13. Fofana T. 16. Laaksonen O. 1. Lepola A. (G) 20. Malundama H. 5. Ndiaye F. 8. Siira T.
Coaches
Baxter S.	Tainio T.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Recent matches Crusaders is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Haka is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Haka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Crusaders will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crusaders FC
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Crusaders - Glasgow Rangers B	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Haka - Crusaders	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Crusaders - Dundela	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Charity Shield
01.07.23	Larne - Crusaders	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.06.23	Crusaders - The New Saints	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTWWL
- FC Haka
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Haka - Crusaders	2:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.07.23	Haka - Inter Turku	2:2 ✺
01.07.23	Oulu - Haka	3:0 ✺
27.06.23	Haka - HJK	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Lahti - Haka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Haka - Crusaders	2:2

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