Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 3

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Nu9ve, TUDN
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	MLS Season Pass, TUDN
World	Apple TV


	Cruz Azul		Colorado Rapids

	1	X	2
	1.85	4	3.6	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.25
	1.88	3.85	3.6	Watch
	1.89	4.02	3.77
	1.61	4.28	4.78	Watch
	1.96	3.86	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.31)	3.92 ↑ (3.58)	3.74 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruz Azul
50.9%

Draw
24%

Colorado Rapids
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

25.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.

Colorado Rapids has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colorado Rapids might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruz Azul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colorado Rapids could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	8.6%	5.7%

Cruz Azul - Colorado Rapids Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 29 - 85.3%). Colorado will win (votes: 2 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruz Azul: 73.4% – 97.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Cruz Azul (2.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Cruz Azul (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cruz Azul (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cruz Azul (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cruz Azul will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 21 - 95.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Mier K. (G) 4. Ditta W. 6. Lira E. 33. Piovi G. 15. Rivero I. 19. Rodriguez C. 8. Faravelli L. 29. Rotondi C. 194. Morales A. 9. Sepulveda A. 18. Romero L.	41. Defreitas-Hansen N. (G) 4. Cannon R. 5. Maxso A. 99. Travis J. 24. Cobb N. 23. Bassett C. 13. Frederick W. 47. Wathuta S. 16. Harris A. 18. Bassett S. 9. Rafael Navarro
Substitutes
7. Bogusz M. 3. Campos O. 17. Garcia A. 1. Gudino A. (G) 214. Levy M. 16. Marquez J. 30. Ochoa E. (G) 5. Orozco J. 20. Paradela J. 2. Sanchez J. 26. Vargas C. 193. Velazquez K.	45. Amadou D. 15. Fadal A. 14. Harris C. 8. Larraz O. 19. Murphy I. 2. Rosenberry K. 1. Steffen Z. (G) 3. Vines S. 77. Yapi D.
Coaches
Larcamon N.	Armas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Rafael Navarro ⚽, Wathuta S. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Maxso A. ⚽, Bassett C. (A),
43', 1 - 2, Frederick W. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Faravelli L. ↓, Paradela J. ↑,
46', Cannon R. ↓, Rosenberry K. ↑,
46', Maxso A. ↓, Murphy I. ↑,
46', Travis J. ↓, Vines S. ↑,
46', Bassett C. ↓, Larraz O. ↑,
56', Ditta W. 🟨,
59', Rafael Navarro ↓, Yapi D. ↑,
59', Morales A. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
64', Romero L. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
76', Yapi D. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Rivero I. ⚽, Bogusz M. (A),
83', Marquez J. 🟨,
88', Rotondi C. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
88', Sepulveda A. ↓, Levy M. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Yapi D. (Pen),
1, Lira E. (Pen),
2, Larraz O. (Pen),
2, Bogusz M. (Pen),
3, Harris A. (Pen),
3, Paradela J. (Pen),
4, Wathuta S. (Pen),
4, Piovi G. (Pen),
5, Bassett S. (Pen),
5, Rodriguez C. (Pen),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cruz Azul might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Cruz Azul - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.71%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruz Azul FC
CONCACAF League Cup
03.08.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Cruz Azul	1:2 penalties ✺
31.07.25	Cruz Azul - Seattle Sounders	0:7 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Cruz Azul - Club León	4:1 ✺
19.07.25	Atlas - Cruz Azul	3:3 ✺
12.07.25	Cruz Azul - Mazatlan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWTT
- Colorado Rapids
CONCACAF League Cup
03.08.25	Colorado Rapids - Tijuana	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Colorado Rapids - Santos Laguna	2:1 ✺
MLS
26.07.25	Philadelphia Union - Colorado Rapids	3:1 ✺
16.07.25	Seattle Sounders - Colorado Rapids	3:3 ✺
12.07.25	Colorado Rapids - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLTW

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