Match Info

MLS

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Subaru Park (Chester, PA)

Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Philadelphia Union		Colorado Rapids

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.33	5.25	Watch
	1.58	4.33	4.8
	1.6	4.4	4.9	Watch
	1.61	4.4	5.32
	1.60	4.38	4.79	Watch
	1.57	4.4	4.8
	1.62	4.45	5.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.6)	4.38 ↑ (4.2)	4.98 ↓ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Union
59.4%

Draw
21.6%

Colorado Rapids
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

22.6%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.3%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Colorado Rapids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Philadelphia Union - Colorado Rapids Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Philadelphia Union will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Blake A. (C) 15. Mbaizo O. 29. Makhanya O. 5. Glesnes J. 27. Wagner K. 33. Sullivan Q. 21. Jean Jacques D. 4. Lukic J. 19. Vassilev I. 20. Damiani B. 9. Baribo T.	1. Steffen Z. (G) 4. Cannon R. 19. Murphy I. 5. Maxso A. (C) 3. Vines S. 23. Bassett C. 12. Atencio J. 14. Harris C. 10. Mihailovic D. 21. Ku-DiPietro T. 9. Rafael Navarro
Substitutes
11. Bedoya A. 8. Bueno J. 25. Donovan C. 55. Olivas S. 44. Pierre N. 14. Rafanello J. 76. Rick A. (G) 1. Semmle O. (G) 7. Uhre M.	18. Bassett S. 41. Defreitas-Hansen N. (G) 13. Frederick W. 16. Harris A. 8. Larraz O. 2. Rosenberry K. 99. Travis J. 77. Yapi D.
Coaches
Carnell B.	Armas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Rafael Navarro ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', Atencio J. ↓, Larraz O. ↑,
60', Mihailovic D. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Baribo T. ⚽, Wagner K. (A),
69', Cannon R. 🟨,
73', Damiani B. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
73', Sullivan Q. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
74', Harris C. ↓, Yapi D. ↑,
79', Steffen Z. 🟨,
83', Ku-DiPietro T. ↓, Bassett S. ↑,
85', Baribo T. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Uhre M. ⚽, Vassilev I. (A),
90+2', Baribo T. ↓, Olivas S. ↑,
90+4', Vassilev I. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Uhre M. ⚽, Bedoya A. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Colorado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Philadelphia is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Harriel N. (Yellow Cards) Westfield F. (Red Card)

There will not play in Colorado: Frederick W. (Hip Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Union
MLS
19.07.25	Houston Dynamo - Philadelphia Union	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWLL
- Colorado Rapids
MLS
16.07.25	Seattle Sounders - Colorado Rapids	3:3 ✺
12.07.25	Colorado Rapids - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:0 ✺
09.07.25	Los Angeles - Colorado Rapids	3:0 ✺
04.07.25	Colorado Rapids - Sporting Kansas City	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	New England Revolution - Colorado Rapids	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF League Cup
25.08.24	Philadelphia Union - Colorado Rapids	2:3 penalties
MLS
13.05.23	Colorado Rapids - Philadelphia Union	1:2
27.08.22	Philadelphia Union - Colorado Rapids	6:0
29.05.19	Philadelphia Union - Colorado Rapids	1:1
31.03.18	Colorado Rapids - Philadelphia Union	3:0
20.05.17	Philadelphia Union - Colorado Rapids	2:1
28.05.16	Colorado Rapids - Philadelphia Union	1:1

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