Match Info

Campeón de Campeones - Final

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, ViX Premium
Usa	SportsEngine Play, TUDN


	Toluca		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.45
	2.75	3.30	2.45
	2.72	3.3	2.42
	2.93	3.35	2.56
	2.80	3.31	2.47	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.5
	2.8	3.3	2.45
	2.75	3.3	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.5)	3.3 (3.3)	2.47 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toluca
33.5%

Draw
28.4%

Cruz Azul
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Toluca - Cruz Azul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Garcia L. (G) 19. Simon S. 6. Pereira F. 4. Bruno Mendez 20. Gallardo J. 5. Romero F. 24. Arce F. 10. Angulo J. 8. Castro N. 9. Vega A. (C) 29. Diaz Price J.	23. Mier K. (G) 16. Marquez J. 33. Piovi G. 5. Orozco J. 4. Ditta W. 6. Lira E. (C) 19. Rodriguez C. 20. Paradela J. 8. Palavecino A. 29. Rotondi C. 21. Fernandez G.
Substitutes
2. Barbosa D. 25. del Villar E. 17. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 1. Gonzalez H. (G) 35. Gutierrez E. 7. Guzman V. 11. Helinho 21. Lopez I. 13. Luan 15. Perez P.	14. Calero J. 3. Campos O. 11. Ebere C. 17. Garcia A. 1. Gudino A. (G) 7. Ibanez N. 10. Montano A. 12. Montes A. 22. Rodarte J. 18. Romero L.
Coaches
Mohamed A.	Huiqui J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Paradela J. ⚽, Rodriguez C. (A),
43', Palavecino A. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Vega A. ⚽, Angulo J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 2, Rodriguez C. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
59', Arce F. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
59', Vega A. ↓, Helinho ↑,
61', 1 - 3, Paradela J. ⚽,
67', Angulo J. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
75', Fernandez G. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
76', Castro N. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
77', Bruno Mendez ↓, del Villar E. ↑,
80', Rotondi C. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
81', Paradela J. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
90', Rodriguez C. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
90+1', Palavecino A. ↓, Ibanez N. ↑,
90+3', Orozco J. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Dignity Health Sports Park.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 0.

Cruz Azul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Cruz Azul - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.26%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca
Mexican Liga MX
21.07.26	Toluca - UNAM	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Cancún - Toluca	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
30.05.26	Toluca - Tigres UANL	2:1 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
10.05.26	Pachuca - Toluca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL
- Cruz Azul FC
Mexican Liga MX
21.07.26	Cruz Azul - Puebla	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Atlético San Luis - Cruz Azul	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Atlético Morelia - Cruz Azul	3:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
24.05.26	UNAM - Cruz Azul	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Cruz Azul - UNAM	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
07.02.26	Toluca - Cruz Azul	1:1
23.08.25	Cruz Azul - Toluca	1:0
19.04.25	Toluca - Cruz Azul	2:2
20.07.24	Cruz Azul - Toluca	1:1
27.04.24	Toluca - Cruz Azul	0:1
08.07.23	Cruz Azul - Toluca	0:2
12.02.23	Toluca - Cruz Azul	3:1

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