Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio 10 de Diciembre (Jasso)

Referee: Negrete Preciado J. M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports


	Cruz Azul Hidalgo		Piratas de Veracruz

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.30	1.93
	3.20	3.40	2.00
	3.66	3.76	1.98
	2.91	3.56	2.28	Watch
	3.50	3.70	1.96
	3.57	3.67	1.94
	3.20	3.40	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.9)	3.54 ↑ (3.45)	2.02 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cruz Azul Hidalgo
27.9%

Draw
26.2%

Piratas de Veracruz
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

25.9%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruz Azul Hidalgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Piratas de Veracruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Piratas de Veracruz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul Hidalgo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piratas de Veracruz than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Piratas de Veracruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Ochoa E. (G) 66. Suarez J. 69. Cubillas A. 28. Rubio R. (C) 47. De Los Rios S. 50. Gonzalez K. 58. Sanchez E. 68. Valdivia C. 59. Ramirez D. 258. Castaneda E. 53. Taboada V.	20. Hernandez H. (C) 14. Gonzalez R. 4. Lopez A. 15. Palomares R. 6. Cruz D. 7. Soto O. 16. Fernandez C. 8. Figueroa B. 28. Gamboa J. 9. Garcia F. 26. Clemente J.
Substitutes
203. Camacho X. 113. Espinosa S. 92. Garcia A. 44. Leon C. 67. Mendoza J. 56. Montes J. 62. Rodriguez E. 13. Rodriguez R. (G) 57. Valdez D. 222. Villegas E.	19. Doumbouya I. 18. Enciso A. 22. Garcia U. 30. Hidalgo R. C. 25. Lajud Martinez D. 10. Lopez G. 17. Ochoa E. 1. Sanchez D. (G) 13. Sanchez D. 21. Vargas E.
Coaches
Landazabal E.	Garcia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Ramirez D. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Castaneda E. ⚽,
36', Ramirez D. ↓, Villegas E. ↑,
36', 1 - 1, Soto O. ⚽, Palomares R. (A),
42', Figueroa B. 🟨,
43', Soto O. 🟨,
45', Lopez A. 🟥,
45', Rubio R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Valdivia C. ↓, Valdez D. ↑,
58', Taboada V. ↓, Camacho X. ↑,
58', Castaneda E. ↓, Espinosa S. ↑,
67', Cubillas A. ↓, Leon C. ↑,
76', Gamboa J. ↓, Garcia U. ↑,
88', Villegas E. 🟥,
90', Valdez D. 🟨,
90', Garcia U. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+3', Fernandez C. ↓, Lajud Martinez D. ↑,
90+7', Rubio R. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	16:10	6	18
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	11:18	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
05.09.26	Cancún - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	6:0 ✺
29.08.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Tepatitlán de Morelos	6:0 ✺
21.08.26	Atlético La Paz - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Atlético Morelia	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Venados	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTLT
- Piratas de Veracruz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
05.09.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Correcaminos UAT	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Piratas de Veracruz	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Cancún	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Atlético La Paz - Piratas de Veracruz	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Alacranes de Durango - Piratas de Veracruz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLLW

Upcoming Matches