Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio 10 de Diciembre (Jasso)

Referee: Cruz Garatachea F. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cruz Azul Hidalgo		Tepatitlán de Morelos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.50	3.90
	1.91	3.45	3.45	Watch
	1.68	3.90	4.00
	1.92	3.61	3.78	Watch
	1.78	3.80	4.10
	1.77	3.69	4.27
	1.84	3.50	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.03)	3.64 ↑ (3.36)	3.89 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruz Azul Hidalgo
51%

Draw
25.3%

Tepatitlán de Morelos
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

27.8%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruz Azul Hidalgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Tepatitlán de Morelos Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cruz Azul Hidalgo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tepatitlán will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Ochoa E. (G) 66. Suarez J. 50. Gonzalez K. 28. Rubio R. 56. Montes J. 63. Saavedra Nevarez A. A. 58. Sanchez E. 68. Valdivia C. 41. Derbez L. 47. De Los Rios S. 53. Taboada V.	1. Estrada A. (G) 6. Baez G. 19. Castaneda S. 2. Sanchez G. 22. Sanguinetti F. 11. Olvera G. 5. Villalpando D. 25. Moreno A. 28. Lopez M. 31. Casas B. 23. Godinez J.
Substitutes
203. Camacho X. 69. Cubillas A. 44. Leon C. 183. Palacios K. 59. Ramirez D. 62. Rodriguez E. 13. Rodriguez R. (G) 61. Salgado B. (G) 222. Villegas E.	4. Alonso R. 32. Arevalo T. 27. Avila H. 30. Gatica A. (G) 18. Martinez E. 20. Ortega E. 9. Paez L. 14. Rios J. 24. Valencia V. 21. Zavala M.
Coaches
Landazabal E.	Bartolotta D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Suarez J. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Sanchez E. ⚽, Taboada V. (A),
42', Godinez J. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 2 - 0, Derbez L. ⚽, Valdivia C. (A),
45+3', Villalpando D. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Sanchez G. ↓, Zavala M. ↑,
46', Villalpando D. ↓, Ortega E. ↑,
46', Moreno A. ↓, Valencia V. ↑,
53', Zavala M. 🟨,
56', 3 - 0, Valdivia C. ⚽, Sanchez E. (A),
57', 🟨,
61', Gonzalez K. ↓, Leon C. ↑,
61', Zavala M. ↓, Arevalo T. ↑,
67', Valdivia C. ↓, Camacho X. ↑,
67', Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↓, Palacios K. ↑,
74', Godinez J. ↓, Paez L. ↑,
79', Sanchez E. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
79', Taboada V. ↓, Cubillas A. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Derbez L. ⚽, Leon C. (A),
90+2', 5 - 0, De Los Rios S. ⚽, Derbez L. (A),
90+4', Sanguinetti F. 🟨,
90+5', 6 - 0, Camacho X. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).

Tepatitlán is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tepatitlán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	11:18	-7	8
16	Tepatitlan de Morelos	10	2	0	8	8:29	-21	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
21.08.26	Atlético La Paz - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Atlético Morelia	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Venados	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Tapatío - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	0:0 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.05.21	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Irapuato	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTTT
- Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
20.08.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tlaxcala	3:2 ✺
13.08.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético La Paz	0:5 ✺
31.07.26	Correcaminos UAT - Tepatitlán de Morelos	3:1 ✺
24.07.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alacranes de Durango	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

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