Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 11

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio das Alterosas (Belo Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Cruzeiro		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.15
	2.1	3.15	3.44
	2.14	3.25	3.44	Watch
	2.07	3.14	3.37
	2.05	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.14)	3.13 ↓ (3.45)	3.26 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
43.3%

Draw
28.9%

Ferroviária
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.5%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

24.8%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cruzeiro - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Camila Rodrigues (G) 56. Bedoya L. 10. Byanca Brasil (C) 14. Camila Ambrozio 95. Gaby Soares 8. Gisseli 2. Isabela 99. Leticia Alves 9. Leticia Ferreira 4. Paloma 77. Pri Back	1. Luciana (G) 74. Andressa Pereira 7. Darlene 25. Fatima Dutra 17. Julia Beatriz 2. Kati 4. Luana 10. Micaelly 14. Millene 5. Nicoly (C) 9. Vendito
Substitutes
23. Andrade L. 6. Clara 16. Fretes L. 92. Gio Oliveira 19. Layza 1. Leilane (G) 20. Marilia 21. Rodriguez G. 29. Sochor 31. Taty Amaro (G) 15. Tauane Zoio	12. Amanda Coimbra (G) 6. Barrinha 20. Camila 24. Catyellen 35. Kaylaine 3. Monique 16. Mylena Carioca 18. Rafa Soares 22. Raquel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Camila Ambrozio 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Gaby Soares ⚽,
18', Andressa Pereira ↓, Rafa Soares ↑,
20', Fatima Dutra 🟨,
24', Byanca Brasil ↓, Sochor ↑,
45+4', Paloma 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Vendito ⚽,
62', Julia Beatriz ↓, Catyellen ↑,
64', Gisseli ↓, Clara ↑,
65', Pri Back ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
65', Leticia Alves ↓, Marilia ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Leticia Ferreira ⚽,
75', 3 - 1, Rafa Soares (Own goal),
78', Luana 🟨,
79', Nicoly ↓, Raquel ↑,
79', Millene ↓, Mylena Carioca ↑,
84', Leticia Ferreira ↓, Gio Oliveira ↑,
85', Sochor 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Cruzeiro has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Ferroviária has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cruzeiro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG Women
Brasileiro Women
11.05.25	Cruzeiro - Bahia	1:0 ✺
05.05.25	Real Brasilia - Cruzeiro	0:3 ✺
30.04.25	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTWW
- Ferroviária Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
14.05.25	Palmeiras - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro Women
11.05.25	Ferroviária - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
08.05.25	Ferroviária - Taubaté	6:0 ✺
Brasileiro Women
04.05.25	Ferroviária - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
01.05.25	Fluminense - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
29.03.24	Ferroviária - Cruzeiro	1:0
05.06.23	Cruzeiro - Ferroviária	1:1
24.04.22	Ferroviária - Cruzeiro	0:1
22.05.21	Ferroviária - Cruzeiro	3:1
23.09.20	Cruzeiro - Ferroviária	0:1

Cruzeiro - Ferroviária: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide