Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: SNP Arena (Sinsheim) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Australia	23:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	DAZN, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	10:30	Xsports
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	10:30	Disney+
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Croatia	15:30	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Estonia	16:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	16:30	Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Extra 3
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Mexico	07:30	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
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Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 3
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Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV3
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	DAZN Switzerland, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	20:30	beIN Connect
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	Peacock, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
International	13:30	OneFootball TV


	Hoffenheim		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	2.20	4.10	2.80	Watch
	2.20	4.00	2.87
	2.20	3.95	2.70	Watch
	2.28	4.10	3.00
	2.35	4.1	2.65	Watch
	2.20	3.95	2.95
	2.19	4.07	2.95	Watch
	2.25	4.10	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.36)	4.05 ↑ (3.9)	2.86 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
42.9%

Draw
23.7%

Stuttgart
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.1%

24.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24.2%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	30%	55%

Hoffenheim - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stuttgart (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Stuttgart (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 25%). Stuttgart (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 5. Kabak O. 21. Hajdari A. 39. Rots M. 20. Conte B. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 14. Daghim A. 10. Hlozek A. 19. Lemperle T.	1. Bredlow F. (G) 29. Jeltsch F. 24. Chabot J. 3. Hendriks R. 4. Vagnoman J. 21. Promel G. (C) 6. Stiller A. 7. Mittelstadt M. 9. Demirovic E. 10. Fuhrich C. 17. Pejcinovic D.
Substitutes
11. Asllani F. 17. De Cat N. 15. Gendrey V. 2. Hranac R. 27. Kramaric A. 28. Machida K. 9. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 8. Wimmer P.	11. El Khannouss B. 33. Funk M. (G) 37. Herwerth M. 16. Karazor A. 18. Leweling J. 44. Sauer L. 47. Spalt Y. 20. Stergiou L. 26. Undav D.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Hlozek A. ⚽, Conte B. (A),
34', Stiller A. ↓, Spalt Y. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Mittelstadt M. ⚽,
55', Conte B. ↓, Wimmer P. ↑,
63', Burger W. 🟨,
65', Fuhrich C. ↓, El Khannouss B. ↑,
65', Demirovic E. ↓, Undav D. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Hlozek A. ⚽, Daghim A. (A),
69', Coufal V. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
69', Rots M. ↓, Machida K. ↑,
81', Vagnoman J. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
81', Hendriks R. ↓, Sauer L. ↑,
82', Hlozek A. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
83', Lemperle T. ↓, Asllani F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 0.

Hoffenheim has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Stuttgart has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hoffenheim has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Prass A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Assignon L. (Shoulder Injury) Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Nartey N. (Thigh Injury) Seimen D. (Thigh Injury) Tomas T. (Muscle Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Machida K. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Jaquez L. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:34. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:17. (average 2.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Hoffenheim	7	3	0	4	14:14	0	9
15	Stuttgart	7	2	0	5	10:13	-3	6

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Hoffenheim: 0.24%

Last Results with these Odds

Hoffenheim - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 40.06%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
05.09.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Hoffenheim	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Hoffenheim	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWTL
- VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Stuttgart - Viking Stavanger	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.09.26	Stuttgart - Köln	4:1 ✺
28.08.26	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	5:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
21.08.26	Hansa Rostock - Stuttgart	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Fulham - Stuttgart	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
02.05.26	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	3:3
20.12.25	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	0:0
23.02.25	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	1:1
06.10.24	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	1:1
16.03.24	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	0:3
28.10.23	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	2:3
27.05.23	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	1:1

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