Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: SNP Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Albania	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	Xsports
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 3
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
India	ZEE5
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	beIN Connect
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Peacock, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+
World	OneFootball TV


	Hoffenheim		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	2.20	4.10	2.80	Watch
	2.20	4.00	2.87
	2.20	3.95	2.70	Watch
	2.28	4.10	3.00
	2.35	4.1	2.65	Watch
	2.20	3.95	2.95
	2.19	4.07	2.95	Watch
	2.25	4.10	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.36)	4.05 ↑ (3.9)	2.86 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
42.9%

Draw
23.7%

Stuttgart
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

24.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24.2%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	30%	55%

Hoffenheim - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stuttgart (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Stuttgart (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 25%). Stuttgart (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 5. Kabak O. 21. Hajdari A. 39. Rots M. 20. Conte B. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 14. Daghim A. 10. Hlozek A. 19. Lemperle T.	1. Bredlow F. (G) 29. Jeltsch F. 24. Chabot J. 3. Hendriks R. 4. Vagnoman J. 21. Promel G. (C) 6. Stiller A. 7. Mittelstadt M. 9. Demirovic E. 10. Fuhrich C. 17. Pejcinovic D.
Substitutes
11. Asllani F. 17. De Cat N. 15. Gendrey V. 2. Hranac R. 27. Kramaric A. 28. Machida K. 9. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 8. Wimmer P.	11. El Khannouss B. 33. Funk M. (G) 37. Herwerth M. 16. Karazor A. 18. Leweling J. 44. Sauer L. 47. Spalt Y. 20. Stergiou L. 26. Undav D.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Hlozek A. ⚽, Conte B. (A),
34', Stiller A. ↓, Spalt Y. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Mittelstadt M. ⚽,
55', Conte B. ↓, Wimmer P. ↑,
63', Burger W. 🟨,
65', Fuhrich C. ↓, El Khannouss B. ↑,
65', Demirovic E. ↓, Undav D. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Hlozek A. ⚽, Daghim A. (A),
69', Coufal V. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
69', Rots M. ↓, Machida K. ↑,
81', Vagnoman J. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
81', Hendriks R. ↓, Sauer L. ↑,
82', Hlozek A. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
83', Lemperle T. ↓, Asllani F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 0.

Hoffenheim has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Stuttgart has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hoffenheim has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Prass A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Assignon L. (Shoulder Injury) Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Nartey N. (Thigh Injury) Seimen D. (Thigh Injury) Tomas T. (Muscle Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Machida K. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Jaquez L. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:34. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:17. (average 2.3:1.7).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Hoffenheim: 0.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7:10	-3	3
15	Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6:9	-3	3

Last Results with these Odds

Hoffenheim - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 40.06%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
05.09.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Hoffenheim	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Hoffenheim	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWTL
- VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Stuttgart - Viking Stavanger	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.09.26	Stuttgart - Köln	4:1 ✺
28.08.26	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	5:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
21.08.26	Hansa Rostock - Stuttgart	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Fulham - Stuttgart	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
02.05.26	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	3:3
20.12.25	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	0:0
23.02.25	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	1:1
06.10.24	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	1:1
16.03.24	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	0:3
28.10.23	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	2:3
27.05.23	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	1:1

Upcoming Matches