Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Lille		Brest

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.95	5.4	Watch
	1.65	4.01	5.7
	1.55	4.19	5.95	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5
	1.67	4.17	5.69	Watch
	1.6	4	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)	4 ↑ (3.92)	5.61 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
59.1%

Draw
23.9%

Brest
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

23.3%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.7%	6.1%	10.2%

Lille - Brest Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Brest (5.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lille (1.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH -1 - draw (3.59) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Lille (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lille will win (41 of 48 users predict this - 85.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.44% – 95.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Brest (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozer B. (G) 32. Bouaddi A. 18. Mbemba Ch. 4. Alexsandro 15. Perraud R. 21. Andre B. (C) 17. Mukau N. 35. Diaoune S. 10. Haraldsson H. 27. Correia F. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M.	30. Coudert G. (G) 77. Lala K. 4. Diaz Jr. M. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 27. Guindo D. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. 10. Del Castillo R. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 14. Labeau Lascary R. 19. Ajorque L.
Substitutes
6. Bentaleb N. 16. Bodart A. (G) 14. Broholm M. 9. Giroud O. 38. Goffi A. 28. Perrin G. 40. Sajous T. (G) 22. Santos T. 24. Verdonk C.	18. Diop S. 21. Kante I. Y. 71. Le Guen R. 1. Majecki R. (G) 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P. 24. Tousart L. 12. Zogbe L.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Roy E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, Labeau Lascary R. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
64', Ajorque L. 🟨,
66', Mukau N. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
66', Diaoune S. ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
70', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Perrin G. ⚽, Correia F. (A),
74', Haraldsson H. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
74', Correia F. ↓, Broholm M. ↑,
77', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
85', Bouaddi A. ↓, Santos T. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 2.

Lille is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brest's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lille is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Lille: Caillard M. (Injury) Edjouma N. (Muscle Injury) Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Mandi A. (Yellow Cards) Mbappe E. (Thigh Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury) Ngoy N. (Yellow Cards) Sahraoui O. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Injury) Coulibaly S. (Thigh Injury) Doumbia K. (Yellow Cards) Locko B. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lille won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lille: 4.84% Brest: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Lille - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.58%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
06.02.26	Metz - Lille	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Lyon - Lille	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Lille - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Lille - Strasbourg	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Celta de Vigo - Lille	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLWLL
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
07.02.26	Brest - Lorient	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Nice - Brest	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Brest - Toulouse	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Lyon - Brest	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Brest - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
17.08.25	Brest - Lille	3:3
10.05.25	Brest - Lille	2:0
06.12.24	Lille - Brest	3:1
17.03.24	Brest - Lille	1:1
22.10.23	Lille - Brest	1:0
24.02.23	Lille - Brest	2:1
11.01.23	Brest - Lille	0:0

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