Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Lyon		Lille

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.4	Watch
	1.88	3.7	3.8
	2.02	3.55	3.55	Watch
	2.1	3.6	3.66
	2.05	3.59	3.57	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.3
	2.13	3.66	3.68	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.14)	3.58 ↑ (3.55)	3.56 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lyon
46.6%

Draw
26.6%

Lille
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.6%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26.8%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	16%	9.9%

Lyon - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 79 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 59 - 74.7%). Lille will win (votes: 7 - 8.9%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 16.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 65.1% – 84.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Lille (2.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

DC - Lille (1.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Lyon (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (36 of 42 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 48 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 38 - 79.2%). Lille (votes: 8 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 22. Mata C. 19. Niakhate M. (C) 21. Kluivert R. 99. Nartey N. 6. Tessmann T. 16. Abner Vinicius 10. Sulc P. 9. Endrick 17. Moreira A.	1. Ozer B. (G) 22. Santos T. 3. Ngoy N. 23. Mandi A. 15. Perraud R. 21. Andre B. (C) 32. Bouaddi A. 17. Mukau N. 10. Haraldsson H. 27. Correia F. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M.
Substitutes
39. de Carvalho M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 32. Gomes A. 46. Goncalves T. 34. Hamdani A. 33. Hateboer H. 45. Himbert R. 7. Karabec A. 44. Merah K.	4. Alexsandro 39. Baret L. 16. Bodart A. (G) 42. Boussadia S. 14. Broholm M. 35. Diaoune S. 9. Giroud O. 18. Mbemba Ch. 24. Verdonk C.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Nartey N. ⚽, Kluivert R. (A),
42', Mandi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ngoy N. 🟨,
61', Mukau N. 🟨,
68', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
68', Mukau N. ↓, Broholm M. ↑,
78', Perraud R. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
82', Sulc P. ↓, Himbert R. ↑,
85', Fernandez-Pardo M. 🟨,
85', Santos T. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
90+1', Endrick ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
90+1', Abner Vinicius ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 4.

Lyon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lille is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lyon might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Ghezzal R. (Muscle Injury) Mangala O. (Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Tagliafico N. (Ankle Injury) Tolisso C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N. (Injury) Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury) Sahraoui O. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Lyon will win today's game, with odds of 2.03.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lille: 4.48% Lyon: 3.8%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lyon	6	3	2	1	11:4	7	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Lyon - PAOK	4:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Metz - Lyon	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Young Boys - Lyon	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.01.26	Lyon - Brest	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Lille - Lyon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW
- OSC Lille
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Lille - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Lille - Strasbourg	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Celta de Vigo - Lille	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
16.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Lille - Lyon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
11.01.26	Lille - Lyon	1:2
French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Lille - Lyon	0:1
05.04.25	Lyon - Lille	2:1
01.11.24	Lille - Lyon	1:1
06.05.24	Lille - Lyon	3:4
Coupe De France
07.02.24	Lyon - Lille	2:1
French Ligue 1
26.11.23	Lyon - Lille	0:2

Upcoming Matches