Match Info

Date: 8 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Monaco

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	2.05
	3.3	3.5	2.15
	3.35	3.6	2.15
	3.45	3.55	2.1
	3.5	3.64	2.14
	3.4	3.5	2.1
	3.58	3.75	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.31)	3.58 ↓ (3.63)	2.1 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
27.7%

Draw
26.8%

Monaco
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

26.1%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

26.2%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Monaco aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.9%	27.9%	44.1%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 19 - 27.9%). Monaco will win (votes: 30 - 44.1%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 27.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 32.3% – 55.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Crvena Zvezda has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (19%), has a chance of 2nd (26%), has a chance of 3rd (28%), has a chance of round of 16 (27%), has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Monaco has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (48%), has a chance of 2nd (26%), has a chance of 3rd (16%), has a good chance of round of 16 (59%), has a chance of qtrs (27%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 63, big importance 70, match rating 66. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Monaco will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Krsticic N. (Injury)

There will not play in Monaco: Boadu M. (Foot Injury) Volland K. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Crvena Zvezda: Ivanic M. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
04.09.22	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Bačka Topola	1:1 ✺
31.08.22	Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Javor Ivanjica	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.08.22	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Maccabi Haifa	2:2 ✺
17.08.22	Maccabi Haifa - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TTWTL
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
04.09.22	Nice - Monaco	0:1 ✺
31.08.22	Monaco - Troyes	2:4 ✺
28.08.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Monaco - Lens	1:4 ✺
13.08.22	Monaco - Rennes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLTLT

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