Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 LIVE Israel, 5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 5
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Monaco		Rennes

	1	X	2
	1.85	4	3.7	Watch
	2.05	3.9	3.2
	1.92	3.95	3.55	Watch
	1.93	4.09	3.77
	1.92	3.91	3.61	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.6
	1.97	4.07	3.81	Watch
	1.87	4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.03)	3.96 ↑ (3.88)	3.62 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
49.6%

Draw
24.1%

Rennes
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

24.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

24.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.8%	16.3%	14%

Monaco - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 30 - 69.8%). Rennes will win (votes: 6 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 56.1% – 83.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Monaco (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Rennes (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Monaco (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Rennes (3.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 12 - 75%). Rennes (votes: 4 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kohn P. (G) 4. Teze J. 28. Coulibaly M. 5. Kehrer T. 20. Ouattara K. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 15. Camara L. 27. Diatta K. 10. Golovin A. 31. Fati A. 9. Balogun F.	30. Samba B. (C) 48. Ait Boudlal A. 97. Jacquet J. 3. Brassier L. 95. Frankowski P. 45. Camara M. 11. Tamari M. 6. Cisse D. 26. Merlin Q. 9. Lepaul E. 7. Embolo B.
Substitutes
11. Akliouche M. 23. Bamba A. 14. Biereth M. 12. Caio Henrique 17. Idumbo S. 19. Ilenikhena G. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 44. Nibombe S. 2. Vanderson	10. Blas L. 4. Kamara G. 35. Legendre E. 65. Mukiele N. 18. Nagida M. 24. Rouault A. 36. Seidu A. 50. Silistrie M. (G) 17. Szymanski S.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Beye H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Embolo B. 🟨,
22', Teze J. 🟨,
29', Brassier L. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Fati A. ⚽, Balogun F. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Fati A. ↓, Akliouche M. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Akliouche M. ⚽, Golovin A. (A),
56', Brassier L. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
56', Frankowski P. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
56', Lepaul E. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
56', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
60', 3 - 0, Coulibaly M. ⚽, Biereth M. (A),
66', Cisse D. ↓, Kamara G. ↑,
72', Diatta K. ↓, Vanderson ↑,
79', Tamari M. ↓, Legendre E. ↑,
81', Golovin A. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
81', Zakaria D. ↓, Bamba A. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Idumbo S. ⚽, Biereth M. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 4.

Monaco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rennes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Monaco will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Monaco: Cabral P. (Muscle Injury) Dier E. (Injury) Faes W. (Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Calf Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rennes: Fofana S. (Calf Injury) Rongier V. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Monaco: Mawissa C. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:28. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Monaco: 8.8% Rennes: 3.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Monaco - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.52%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Monaco - Juventus	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
24.01.26	Le Havre - Monaco	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Real Madrid - Monaco	6:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
16.01.26	Monaco - Lorient	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Orleans - Monaco	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLW
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
24.01.26	Rennes - Lorient	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Rennes - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Chantilly - Rennes	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Lille - Rennes	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Rennes - Les Sables	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
22.11.25	Rennes - Monaco	4:1
25.01.25	Monaco - Rennes	3:2
05.10.24	Rennes - Monaco	1:2
07.04.24	Monaco - Rennes	1:0
09.12.23	Rennes - Monaco	1:2
27.05.23	Rennes - Monaco	2:0
13.08.22	Monaco - Rennes	1:1

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