Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Partizana (Belgrade)

Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 10
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Partizan		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.85	4.05	1.72
	4.15	4.29	1.67
	8.52	5.56	1.29	Watch
	3.89	4.32	1.72	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (4.8)	4.4 ↑ (4)	1.65 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partizan
19.4%

Draw
22%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

24.3%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

24.5%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Crvena Zvezda (2.25) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Partizan (votes: 2 - 6.1%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 30 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Milosevic M. (G) 32. Trifunovic N. 44. Milic S. 40. Simic N. 4. Jurcevic M. 36. Ugresic O. 19. Seck D. 6. Dragojevic V. 11. Vukotic M. 30. Roganovic M. 7. Milosevic J.	1. Matheus (G) 66. Seol Young-Woo 25. Lekovic S. 21. Elsnik T. 23. Tiknizyan N. 13. Veljkovic M. 22. Kostov V. 20. Handel T. 4. Ivanic M. 89. Arnautovic M. 10. Katai A.
Substitutes
24. Djurdjevic V. 42. Jovanovic D. 28. Karabelyov Y. 9. Kostic A. 99. Kostic B. 31. Krunic M. (G) 10. Natcho B. 2. Stojkovic A. 21. Vasiljevic I. 29. Zahid G. 39. Zubairu I.	71. Avdic A. 80. Babicka S. 6. Bajo M. 17. Bruno Duarte 18. Glazer O. (G) 7. Milson 49. Radonjic N. 5. Rodrigo 24. Stankovic N. 30. Tebo Uchenna F. 40. Zaric L.
Coaches
Blagojevic S.	Milojevic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Elsnik T. ⚽,
45+2', Tiknizyan N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dragojevic V. ↓, Karabelyov Y. ↑,
46', Tiknizyan N. ↓, Stankovic N. ↑,
59', Katai A. ↓, Radonjic N. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Radonjic N. ⚽, Ivanic M. (A),
62', Trifunovic N. ↓, Natcho B. ↑,
63', Ugresic O. ↓, Kostic A. ↑,
72', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Milosevic J. ⚽, Milic S. (A),
80', Milosevic J. ↓, Zahid G. ↑,
81', Handel T. ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
84', Simic N. ↓, Jovanovic D. ↑,
90+1', Roganovic M. 🟨,
90+6', Kostic A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 0.

Partizan is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Crvena Zvezda is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Partizan won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Partizan
Serbian Superliga
14.09.25	Spartak Subotica - Partizan	2:5 ✺
30.08.25	Partizan - Radnik Surdulica	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Radnički Niš - Partizan	2:2 ✺
18.08.25	Partizan - IMT Novi Beograd	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Hibernian - Partizan	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTWW
- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
14.09.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Železničar Pančevo	7:1 ✺
31.08.25	Novi Pazar - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.25	Paphos - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos	1:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
15.08.25	Mladost Lučani - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
12.04.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan	2:1
22.02.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan	3:3
23.09.24	Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4
Serbian Cup
24.04.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan	2:0
Serbian Superliga
20.04.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan	3:2
09.03.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan	2:2
20.12.23	Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1

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