Match Info

Date: 31 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	VOOsport
Croatia	Arena Sport
France	Amazon Prime Video
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Canal+ Sport 5, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Turkey	beIN Sports 1 MAX
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Monaco		Troyes

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8.5	Watch
	1.35	5.25	8.25
	1.33	5.5	8.5
	1.33	5.4	8
	1.36	5.79	8.61
	1.32	5.25	9	Watch
	1.32	5.6	8.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)	5.43 ↓ (5.56)	8.52 ↓ (8.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Espa√±ol (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
71.3%

Draw
17.5%

Troyes
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

17%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

16.9%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.5%	13.6%	15.9%

Monaco - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 31 - 70.5%). Troyes will win (votes: 7 - 15.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 57% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monaco has the most likely position - 2 (14.75%), has project points - 64, has currently - 5, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (31%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Troyes has the most likely position - 20 (12.51%), has project points - 40, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 61, importance 46, match rating 53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monaco won 5.

Recent matches Monaco is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Troyes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Monaco is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Monaco: Boadu M. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Troyes: Azamoum K. (Knee Injury) Bruus A. (Injury) Conte A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Monaco: Volland K. (Ankle Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Monaco won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
28.08.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Monaco - Lens	1:4 ✺
13.08.22	Monaco - Rennes	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.08.22	PSV Eindhoven - Monaco	3:2 ET ✺
French Ligue 1
06.08.22	Strasbourg - Monaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLTLW
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 1
28.08.22	Troyes - Angers	3:1 ✺
19.08.22	Lyon - Troyes	4:1 ✺
14.08.22	Troyes - Toulouse	0:3 ✺
07.08.22	Montpellier - Troyes	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Auxerre - Troyes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.04.22	Monaco - Troyes	2:1
29.08.21	Troyes - Monaco	1:2
19.05.18	Troyes - Monaco	0:3
09.12.17	Monaco - Troyes	3:2
20.02.16	Monaco - Troyes	3:1
19.12.15	Troyes - Monaco	0:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
30.10.12	Monaco - Troyes	1:2

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