Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Nice		Monaco

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.8	2	Watch
	3	3.75	2.15
	3.2	3.7	2.12	Watch
	3.53	3.96	2.02
	3.18	3.86	2.11	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2
	3.56	3.87	2.04	Watch
	3.2	3.75	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.05)	3.79 ↑ (3.72)	2.07 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
28.9%

Draw
25.1%

Monaco
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

25.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

25.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	37.5%	43.7%

Nice - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). Monaco will win (votes: 13 - 41.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 38.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 24.5% – 59.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Nice (3.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Monaco (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Dupe M. (G) 92. Clauss J. 37. Peprah K. 4. Dante (C) 2. Abdi A. 8. Sanson M. 24. Vanhoutte C. 23. Bernardeau G. 10. Diop S. 20. Louchet T. 11. Wahi E.	16. Kohn P. (G) 4. Teze J. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 5. Kehrer T. 27. Diatta K. 15. Camara L. 23. Bamba A. 24. Adingra S. 11. Akliouche M. 10. Golovin A. 9. Balogun F.
Substitutes
99. Abdul Samed S. 28. Bah J. 32. Boudache K. 39. Coulibaly D. 44. Diallo Z. 80. Diouf Y. (G) 21. Jansson I. 22. Ndombele T. 41. Pereira E.	14. Biereth M. 29. Brunner P. 12. Caio Henrique 28. Coulibaly M. 25. Faes W. 17. Idumbo S. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 44. Nibombe S. 2. Vanderson
Coaches
Puel C.	Pocognoli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Balogun F. 🟨,
18', Diop S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Bernardeau G. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
64', Louchet T. ↓, Ndombele T. ↑,
65', Golovin A. ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
75', Bamba A. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
76', Diatta K. ↓, Vanderson ↑,
76', Adingra S. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
84', Sanson M. ↓, Bah J. ↑,
84', Diop S. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
88', Vanderson 🟨,
90', Wahi E. 🟨,
90+1', Vanhoutte C. ↓, Pereira E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 2.

Nice is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Monaco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Monaco might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Monaco: Cabral P. (Muscle Injury) Dier E. (Injury) Fati A. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Mawissa C. (Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Ouattara K. (Calf Injury) Pogba P. (Calf Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Bard M. (Groin Injury) Boudaoui H. (Back Injury) Cho M. (Muscle Injury) Gouveia T. (Inactive) Kevin (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Monaco: Faes W. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Monaco: 8.18% Nice: 0.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Nice - Montpellier	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.02.26	Nice - Brest	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Ludogorets Razgrad - Nice	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Nice - Go Ahead Eagles	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLWW
- AS Monaco
Coupe De France
05.02.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
31.01.26	Monaco - Rennes	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Monaco - Juventus	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
24.01.26	Le Havre - Monaco	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Real Madrid - Monaco	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
05.10.25	Monaco - Nice	2:2
29.03.25	Monaco - Nice	2:1
27.10.24	Nice - Monaco	2:1
11.02.24	Nice - Monaco	2:3
22.09.23	Monaco - Nice	0:1
26.02.23	Monaco - Nice	0:3
04.09.22	Nice - Monaco	0:1

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