Match Info

Serie B - Round 19

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)

Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cuiabá		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.82	3.75	Watch
	2.05	2.87	3.70
	2.18	2.82	3.7	Watch
	2.27	2.94	3.98
	2.21	2.88	3.81	Watch
	2.18	2.9	4
	2.2	2.88	3.75	Watch
	2.18	2.85	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.23)	2.87 ↓ (3)	3.8 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
42.9%

Draw
32.5%

Atlético Goianiense
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

31.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.9%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Cuiabá - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marcelo Carne (G) 13. Joao Basso 37. Raylan 33. Alan Empereur (C) 30. Raul 20. David Miguel 8. Pepe 6. Marlon 77. Jean Dias 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 90. Fabio Gomes	1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Ewerthon 3. Barreto Viera O. J. 4. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme 8. Igor Henrique 5. Leandro Vilela 7. Guilherme 10. Marrony 11. Geovany Soares 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)
Substitutes
5. Calebe Costa 11. Eliel 14. Eric Melo 2. Igor Inocencio 1. Joao Carlos (G) 41. Kauan Cristtyan 36. Lorenzo 97. Luiz Otavio 96. Pedro H. 29. Vinicius Peixoto 4. Vitor Mendes 70. Wesley Dias	18. Bruno Jose 16. Cristiano 15. Gustavo Daniel 17. Klebert 20. Leo Jaco 19. Leo Tocantins 13. Nata 12. Paulo Henrique (G) 14. Tito
Coaches
Barros E.	Roger Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Gustavo Coutinho 🟨,
38', David Miguel 🟨,
39', Guilherme 🟨,
45+1', Raylan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guilherme ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
46', Geovany Soares ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
57', Igor Henrique ↓, Klebert ↑,
59', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Kauan Cristtyan ↑,
59', David Miguel ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Bruno Jose ⚽, Guilherme (A),
63', Pepe 🟨,
67', Marlon ↓, Eric Melo ↑,
67', Fabio Gomes ↓, Pedro H. ↑,
67', Jean Dias ↓, Eliel ↑,
74', Marrony ↓, Cristiano ↑,
80', Cristiano 🟨,
86', Leandro Vilela ↓, Tito ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Cuiabá is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Cuiabá: Eliel (Hand Injury)

There will not play in Atlético GO: Geovane (Inactive) Lima (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Hernades (Muscle Injury) Joao Araujo (Inactive) Mateus Santos (Inactive)

There are questionable in Atlético GO: Igor Henrique (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atletico GO	32	14	10	8	40:30	10	52
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47

Last Results with these Odds

Cuiabá - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.85%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Atlético Goianiense - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 27.05%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
17.07.26	Juventude - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	São Bernardo - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
02.07.26	Cuiabá - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
25.06.26	Cuiabá - Londrina	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Avaí - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTWTL
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
18.07.26	Atlético Goianiense - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Atlético Goianiense - Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Atlético Goianiense - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Sport Recife - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
07.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
24.08.25	Cuiabá - Atlético Goianiense	2:2
22.04.25	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
18.10.24	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	0:0
22.06.24	Cuiabá - Atlético Goianiense	0:0
21.08.22	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	1:1
Copa do Brasil
11.05.22	Cuiabá - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 penalties

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