Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Cuiabá		Avaí

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.65	3.50	4.80
	1.62	3.45	5.3
	1.68	3.58	5.6
	1.66	3.56	5.3	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.45
	1.65	3.52	5.28
	1.64	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.82)	3.53 ↑ (3.3)	5.31 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
56.4%

Draw
26.2%

Avaí
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

28.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Cuiabá - Avaí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 17th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2.

Cuiabá has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Avaí has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Cuiabá carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Cuiabá has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:7 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cuiabá against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:3 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Cuiaba: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47
17	Avai	32	9	6	17	32:43	-11	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.26	Vila Nova - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Cuiabá - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	CRB Maceio - Cuiabá	3:0 ✺
21.09.26	Cuiabá - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLWT
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.26	Avaí - Londrina	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Avaí - Ceará	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Criciúma - Avaí	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Goiás - Avaí	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Avaí - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.06.26	Avaí - Cuiabá	1:0
10.08.25	Avaí - Cuiabá	2:0
10.04.25	Cuiabá - Avaí	2:2
Brazilian Serie A
27.10.22	Cuiabá - Avaí	1:0
03.07.22	Avaí - Cuiabá	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
27.11.20	Cuiabá - Avaí	2:1
22.08.20	Avaí - Cuiabá	0:2

Cuiabá - Avaí: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide