Match Info

Serie B - Round 31

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada) (Florianópolis)

Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Avaí		Ceará

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.85	3.50	Watch
	2.30	2.95	3.10
	2.50	3.05	2.90	Watch
	2.38	3.12	3.44
	2.31	2.99	3.37	Watch
	2.30	3.05	3.35
	2.37	2.89	3.32	Watch
	2.30	2.95	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.35)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	3.29 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Avaí
40.1%

Draw
31.4%

Ceará
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Avaí - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 22. Joao Vitor 3. Allyson 40. Reynaldo (C) 36. Douglas Teixeira 5. Romildo Del Piage 8. Luiz Henrique 95. Wenderson 14. Daniel Penha 10. Jean Lucas 9. Leo Gamalho	1. Richard (G) 2. Ramos R. 4. Luiz Otavio 13. Luiz Otavio (C) 31. Bryan Borges 26. Richardson 81. Joao Gabriel 60. Enzo Lodovico 40. Melk 8. Matheus Araujo 99. Lucca
Substitutes
19. Caio Suassuna 23. Gabriel Cipriano 70. Gaspar 15. Guilherme Aquino 18. Hyan 1. Igor Bohn (G) 38. Jefferson Maciel 30. Kaua Gabriel 7. Leo Chu 66. Quaresma 2. Wallison	23. Caique Franca (G) 33. Eder 7. Giovanni Pavani 78. Janderson 44. Kaiky 77. Lenny Lobato 94. Lopez R. 10. Lucas Mugni 22. Matheus Nogueira (G) 16. Rian Santana 29. Vina 25. Vinicius Zanocelo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Reynaldo ↓, Jefferson Maciel ↑,
37', Wenderson 🟨,
37', Romildo Del Piage 🟨,
38', Luiz Otavio 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Richardson 🟨,
60', Leo Gamalho ↓, Caio Suassuna ↑,
63', Richardson ↓, Vinicius Zanocelo ↑,
63', Lucca ↓, Vina ↑,
70', Joao Vitor ↓, Wallison ↑,
70', Romildo Del Piage ↓, Gaspar ↑,
71', Vizeu F. 🟨,
75', Enzo Lodovico ↓, Rian Santana ↑,
75', Bryan Borges ↓, Janderson ↑,
87', Matheus Araujo ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
90+2', Daniel Penha 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 1, Luiz Otavio ⚽, Lopez R. (A),

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 17th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: ) and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 1.

Avaí has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Ceará has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Avaí may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Avaí has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Avaí: Gabriel Simples (Yellow Cards) Juan Rocha (Injury) Paulo Vitor (Yellow Cards) Pedro Cuiaba (Injury) William (Injury) Ze Ricardo (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Ceará: Gilmar (Injury) Julio Cesar (Yellow Cards) Lopez R. (Inactive) Matheus Nogueira (Inactive) Sanchez (Yellow Cards) Thalisson (Knee Injury) Vinicius Zanocelo (Thigh Injury).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Avaí has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:17 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Avaí against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:7 goals (averaging 1.3:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	34:39	-5	39
17	Avai	32	9	6	17	32:43	-11	33

Last Results with these Odds

Ceará - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.11%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
27.09.26	Criciúma - Avaí	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Goiás - Avaí	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Avaí - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Fortaleza - Avaí	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
26.09.26	Operário Ferroviario - Ceará	2:2 ✺
18.09.26	Ceará - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Fortaleza - Ceará	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Atlético Goianiense - Ceará	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Ceará - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
10.06.26	Ceará - Avaí	2:1
03.11.24	Ceará - Avaí	2:0
19.07.24	Avaí - Ceará	0:1
22.10.23	Avaí - Ceará	1:0
28.06.23	Ceará - Avaí	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
09.11.22	Avaí - Ceará	2:0
19.07.22	Ceará - Avaí	1:0

Upcoming Matches