Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 16

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Cuiabá		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	6.25	Watch
	1.61	3.4	5.5
	1.62	3.35	6.1
	1.62	3.54	6.94
				Watch
	1.67	3.4	6
	1.64	3.48	6.16	Watch
	1.65	3.4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.57)	3.44 ↓ (3.69)	6.06 ↓ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
57.5%

Draw
27.1%

Amazonas
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

25.3%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

25.8%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	31.2%	6.2%

Cuiabá - Amazonas Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Amazonas will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Cuiabá (1.79) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Cuiabá (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 9 - 60%). Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 25. Alisson Safira 3. Bruno Alves 11. Carlos Alberto 20. David 27. Denilson Alves (C) 70. Juan Christian 23. Marcelo Henrique 98. Matheusinho 8. Max Alves 4. Nathan	1. Pedro Caracoci (G) 15. Akapo C. 8. Bruno Ramires 20. Dener 6. Fabiano (C) 26. Gabriel Domingos 14. Rafael Vitor 7. Ramirez Kevin 57. Rodriguez A. 29. Torres D. 5. Vasquez L.
Substitutes
80. Arthur Rezende 9. Edu 15. Eduardo Vinicius 13. Guilherme Mariano 12. Guilherme Nogueira (G) 77. Jadson 2. Leonardo Ataide 47. Victor Barbara	35. Durmisi R. 17. Guilherme Xavier 19. Henrique Almeida 27. Kiko 4. Matheus Blade 33. Renan (G) 77. Robertinho 11. Torres J. 13. Viera S. 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Guto Ferreira	Ibson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Torres J. ⚽,
25', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Alisson Safira (Pen),
36', 2 - 1, Carlos Alberto ⚽, Matheusinho (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Kiko ↑,
49', Ramirez Kevin 🟨,
53', Marcelo Henrique 🟨,
58', Juan Christian ↓, Jadson ↑,
64', Carlos Alberto ↓, Victor Barbara ↑,
67', Torres D. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Alisson Safira (Pen),
76', Gabriel Domingos ↓, Guilherme Xavier ↑,
76', Bruno Ramires ↓, Henrique Almeida ↑,
77', Kiko 🟨,
81', Marcelo Henrique ↓, Leonardo Ataide ↑,
81', David ↓, Arthur Rezende ↑,
81', Alisson Safira ↓, Edu ↑,
90', Akapo C. ↓, Viera S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Recent form of Cuiabá has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Amazonas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cuiabá is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Yellow Cards) Asad Y. (Injury) Calebe Costa (Yellow Cards) Pedrinho (Inactive)

There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson (Inactive) Castrillon N. (Inactive) Joao Lopes (Inactive) Luan Silva (Red Card)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Sander (Injury)

There are questionable in Amazonas: Diego Borges (Inactive) Thomas Luciano (Injury) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
05.07.25	Remo - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
30.06.25	Cuiabá - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Coritiba - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Cuiabá	3:0 ✺
06.06.25	Cuiabá - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLW
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
05.07.25	Amazonas - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
29.06.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Amazonas - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Criciúma - Amazonas	3:2 ✺
09.06.25	Amazonas - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTWLW

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