Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 15

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Amazonas		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	4.1	3	1.95	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2.1
	3.9	2.82	2.12
	4.5	3.1	2.02
				Watch
	3.9	2.9	2.1
	4.04	2.97	2.1	Watch
	3.85	3.05	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.49)	2.96 ↑ (2.91)	2.06 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Amazonas
23.4%

Draw
31.4%

Athletico Paranaense
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

32.2%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

30.6%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Amazonas - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Caracoci (G) 4. Wellington Nascimento 6. Fabiano (C) 14. Rafael Vitor 58. Thomas Luciano 5. Vasquez L. 26. Gabriel Domingos 10. Rafael Tavares 35. Durmisi R. 7. Ramirez Kevin 57. Rodriguez A.	1. Mycael (G) 14. Moraes K. 45. Belezi 3. Leo (C) 37. Esquivel L. 5. Felipinho 31. Raul 88. Patrick 10. Zapelli B. 19. Luiz Fernando 27. Alan Kardec
Substitutes
15. Akapo C. 8. Bruno Ramires 18. Cocote 20. Dener 9. Luan Silva 3. Matheus Blade 33. Renan (G) 77. Robertinho 19. Torres D. 11. Torres J. 27. Victor Hugo 22. Zabala D.	80. Carlos Eduardo (G) 53. Dudu Kogitzki 6. Fernando 4. Figueiredo T. 8. Giuliano 28. Habraao 57. Joao Cruz 61. Leo Derik 21. Leozinho 70. Renan Peixoto 30. Tevis 7. Velasco K.
Coaches
Guilherme Alves	Hellmann O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Alan Kardec ⚽, Zapelli B. (A),
39', Thomas Luciano ↓, Akapo C. ↑,
42', Rafael Vitor 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Durmisi R. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
46', Rafael Tavares ↓, Bruno Ramires ↑,
63', Wellington Nascimento 🟨,
66', Felipinho 🟨,
68', Rodriguez A. ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
68', Gabriel Domingos ↓, Cocote ↑,
76', Zapelli B. ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
83', Alan Kardec ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
83', Felipinho ↓, Tevis ↑,
85', Bruno Ramires 🟨,
90+2', Luan Silva 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Athletico PR is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson (Inactive) Bruno Ramires (Inactive) Castrillon N. (Inactive) Joao Lopes (Inactive) Renan (Injury)

There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac (Inactive) Julimar (Knee Injury) Madson (Inactive) Palacios H. (Inactive) Renan Viana (Inactive) Velasco K. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Amazonas: Diego Borges (Inactive) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Athletico Paranaense - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.93%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
29.06.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Amazonas - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Criciúma - Amazonas	3:2 ✺
09.06.25	Amazonas - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
02.06.25	Chapecoense - Amazonas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWLWL
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B
28.06.25	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
21.06.25	Avaí - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Athletico Paranaense - Remo	2:1 ✺
08.06.25	Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
01.06.25	Operário Ferroviario - Athletico Paranaense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLT

Upcoming Matches