Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 12

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Mendonca J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Criciúma		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.72	3.3	4.75
	1.7	3.4	4.95
	1.7	3.63	5.84
	1.71	3.32	5.02	Watch
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.72	3.54	5.07	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.87)	3.42 ↑ (3.13)	5.14 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
54.8%

Draw
27.1%

Amazonas
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

29.5%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

28.7%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Criciúma's performance.

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Criciúma - Amazonas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Criciúma will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 6. Marcinho 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Luciano Castan 22. Marcelo Hermes 35. Ze Gabriel 5. Matheus Trindade 25. Guilherme Lobo 10. Jhonata Robert 9. Nicolas 77. Diego Goncalves	1. Pedro Caracoci (G) 2. Rafael Monteiro 30. Castrillon N. 3. Jackson 6. Fabiano (C) 77. Robertinho 4. Matheus Blade 5. Vasquez L. 7. Ramirez Kevin 9. Luan Silva 22. Zabala D.
Substitutes
14. Benevenuto 40. Everton Morelli 92. Jean Carlos 21. Joao Carlos 50. Juninho 12. Kaua Moroso (G) 23. Leo Alaba 18. Leo Naldi 88. Luiz Henrique 34. Otusanya O. 99. Sassa 2. Yan Souto	18. Cocote 26. Dener 20. Gabriel Domingos 17. Guilherme Xavier 57. Iverton 10. Rafael Tavares 8. Rodriguez A. 58. Thomas Luciano 11. Torres J. 19. William Barbio 33. Ze Carlos (G)
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista	Guilherme Alves

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Jackson 🟨,
10', Nicolas 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Marcinho ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Jackson ⚽, Zabala D. (A),
38', Marcinho 🟨,
39', Matheus Trindade 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Matheus Trindade ↓, Everton Morelli ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Nicolas ⚽, Marcelo Hermes (A),
59', 2 - 2, Castrillon N. ⚽, Ramirez Kevin (A),
61', Luan Silva ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
61', Rafael Monteiro ↓, Guilherme Xavier ↑,
63', Jhonata Robert ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
67', Ramirez Kevin ↓, Torres J. ↑,
75', Rodrigo ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
75', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Juninho ↑,
75', Matheus Blade ↓, William Barbio ↑,
76', Zabala D. ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
84', Fabiano 🟨,
86', Diego Goncalves ↓, Sassa ↑,
90+2', 3 - 2, Marcelo Hermes ⚽, Everton Morelli (A),
90+3', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
90+7', Torres J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Criciúma is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Criciúma: Fellipe Mateus (Inactive) Heitor Roca (Inactive)

There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson (Inactive) Bruno Ramires (Inactive) Joao Lopes (Inactive) Renan (Injury)

There are questionable in Criciúma: Gabriel Barros (Inactive) Gabriel Novaes (Inactive) Jonathan (Injury)

There are questionable in Amazonas: Akapo C. (Inactive) Diego Borges (Inactive) Luan Silva (Injury) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Criciúma - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.23%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
09.06.25	Criciúma - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
02.06.25	Paysandu - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
26.05.25	Criciúma - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Criciúma	6:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.05.25	CRB Maceio - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLL
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
09.06.25	Amazonas - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
02.06.25	Chapecoense - Amazonas	4:0 ✺
25.05.25	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Volta Redonda - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
12.05.25	Amazonas - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWTT

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