Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 13

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: Goncalves K. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Amazonas		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.63	Watch
	2.65	2.8	2.7
	3.08	2.91	2.7
				Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.88
	3.13	2.81	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.52)	2.82 ↓ (2.87)	2.69 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
32%

Draw
33.2%

Vila Nova
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

32.3%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

31.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amazonas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Amazonas - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Amazonas (2.01) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Amazonas (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Caracoci (G) 15. Akapo C. 22. Zabala D. 6. Fabiano 3. Jackson 4. Matheus Blade 5. Vasquez L. 8. Rodriguez A. 26. Gabriel Domingos 7. Ramirez Kevin 58. Thomas Luciano	99. Halls (G) 2. Elias 3. Weverton 4. Bernardo Schappo 13. Willian Formiga 5. Joao Vieira 15. Miticov 10. Jean Mota 29. Junior Todinho 77. Guilherme Parede 7. Andre Luis
Substitutes
71. Alex Sandro 18. Cocote 20. Dener 2. Durmisi R. 57. Iverton 10. Rafael Tavares 77. Robertinho 11. Torres J. 19. Vagner 27. Victor Hugo 9. Vitao 33. Ze Carlos (G)	17. Bruno Mendes 11. Dodo 9. Gabriel Poveda 19. Gabriel Silva 16. Higor 6. Igor Inocencio 96. Labandeira F. 30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 18. Paje G. 8. Ralf 21. Vinicius Paiva
Coaches
Guilherme Alves	Luizinho Lopes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Jean Mota (Pen),
32', 1 - 1, Ramirez Kevin ⚽, Thomas Luciano (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Bernardo Schappo 🟨,
52', Zabala D. ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
61', Rodriguez A. ↓, Dener ↑,
62', Thomas Luciano ↓, Vitao ↑,
63', Junior Todinho ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
63', Andre Luis ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
69', Vasquez L. ↓, Robertinho ↑,
70', Gabriel Domingos ↓, Torres J. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Robertinho ⚽,
72', Jean Mota ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
72', Guilherme Parede ↓, Dodo ↑,
73', Elias 🟨,
75', Vinicius Paiva 🟨,
78', Bernardo Schappo 🟨,
80', Miticov ↓, Higor ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 12).

Recent performances by Amazonas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vila Nova has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Amazonas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Amazonas: Akapo C. (Inactive) Alyson (Inactive) Bruno Ramires (Inactive) Joao Lopes (Inactive) Renan (Injury)

There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso (Inactive) Tiago Pagnussat (Red Card)

There are questionable in Amazonas: Diego Borges (Inactive) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)

There are questionable in Vila Nova: Marcondes (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Amazonas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
15.06.25	Criciúma - Amazonas	3:2 ✺
09.06.25	Amazonas - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
02.06.25	Chapecoense - Amazonas	4:0 ✺
25.05.25	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Volta Redonda - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWT
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
13.06.25	Vila Nova - América Mineiro	0:3 ✺
09.06.25	Criciúma - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
30.05.25	Vila Nova - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
26.05.25	Cuiabá - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.05.25	Vila Nova - Cruzeiro	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.10.24	Vila Nova - Amazonas	1:0
08.07.24	Amazonas - Vila Nova	1:2

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