Match Info

Date: 14 January 2021, Thursday


	Cuiabá		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.8	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4.1
	1.83	3.2	3.95
	1.86	3.15	4.2
	1.9	3.36	4.74
	1.91	3.1	4.2
	1.85	3.24	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.04)	3.19 ↑ (3.04)	4.26 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
49.2%

Draw
29%

Guaraní Asuncion
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

30.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

23.4%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.6%	14.3%	17.1%

Cuiabá - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Guaraní will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 53.2% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Cuiabá is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guaraní is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cuiabá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cuiabá is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
11.01.21	Ponte Preta - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
05.01.21	Cuiabá - Juventude	1:0 ✺
29.12.20	Cruzeiro - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
22.12.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
18.12.20	Cuiabá - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTLW
- Guaraní Asuncion
Brazilian Serie B
11.01.21	CRB Maceio - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
05.01.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
02.01.21	Guaraní Asuncion - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.12.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	2:3 penalties ✺
27.12.20	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
13.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Cuiabá	1:0
17.10.19	Cuiabá - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1
23.07.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Cuiabá	0:1

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