Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 6

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Parque del Guairá (Villarrica)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)


	Guaireña		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.15
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	3.35	3.28	2.33
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.24	3.32	2.15
	3.15	3.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (3.05)	3.2 ↓ (3.36)	2.17 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaireña
29%

Draw
28.7%

Guaraní Asuncion
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

28.5%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

29.1%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaireña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	36.4%	36.4%

Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Guaireña will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Guaraní will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Servin C. (G) 2. Gimenez A. 5. Gonzalez J. 6. Paniagua M. (C) 3. Castellano T. 24. Aguilar J. 37. Comas L. 18. Acosta M. 7. Parzajuk K. 31. Franco Zayas A. F. 26. Vazquez O.	1. Munoz R. (C) 2. Raul Caceres 3. Moya J. 33. Riveros P. 24. Salomoni F. 5. Gil Romero G. 8. Moreira E. 38. Diaz B. 10. Benitez B. 9. Santander F. 7. Camacho N.
Substitutes
22. Borja E. 23. Caceres E. 10. Duarte C. 28. Finochietto L. (G) 11. Martinez A. 20. Toledo R. 9. Verdun J.	26. Amarilla R. 31. Barcelo F. 35. Pereira A. 23. Prieto R. 20. Rios R. D. 12. Rodriguez M. (G) 27. Roman Torales F. J.
Coaches
Ovelar H.	Pumpido J. P.

Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 10 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 1.

Guaireña is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guaraní is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guaraní will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 2 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaireña won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.08.23	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Guaireña - Tacuary	1:2 ✺
24.07.23	Libertad Asuncion - Guaireña	4:3 ✺
17.07.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño	2:2 ✺
09.07.23	Cerro Porteño - Guaireña	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLLTW
- Guaraní Asuncion
Copa Sudamericana
09.08.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.08.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	5:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.07.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
21.07.23	Tacuary - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
29.05.23	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2
24.03.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	1:1
30.10.22	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
02.09.22	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	2:2
24.04.22	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	2:1
06.02.22	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
28.11.21	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1

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