Match Info

Date: 5 January 2021, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Guaraní Asuncion		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.55	2.75	2.85
	2.45	2.75	2.95
	2.6	2.8	2.85
	2.73	2.92	3.09
	2.7	2.75	2.9
	2.71	2.78	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.36)	2.84 ↓ (3.05)	2.93 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
35.4%

Draw
32.8%

Ponte Preta
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

31.3%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

23.6%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponte Preta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guaraní Asuncion - Ponte Preta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Brazilian Serie B
02.01.21	Guaraní Asuncion - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.12.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	2:3 penalties ✺
27.12.20	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.12.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWWW
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
30.12.20	Juventude - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
22.12.20	Ponte Preta - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
19.12.20	Confiança - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
14.12.20	Operário Ferroviario - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
11.12.20	Ponte Preta - Avaí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
06.10.20	Ponte Preta - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.03.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Ponte Preta	3:2
Brazilian Serie B
09.11.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Ponte Preta	0:0
11.08.19	Ponte Preta - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.03.19	Ponte Preta - Guaraní Asuncion	3:0
Brazilian Serie B
25.08.18	Ponte Preta - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
05.05.18	Guaraní Asuncion - Ponte Preta	2:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.10.26	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	✺
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
30.10.26	Criciúma - Ponte Preta	✺

Guaraní Asuncion - Ponte Preta