Match Info

Date: 11 January 2021, Monday


	CRB Maceio		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3	3.5
	1.88	3	4
	2.05	2.95	3.75
	2.14	3.2	3.91
	2.1	3	3.75
	2.09	3.14	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.34)	3.08 ↑ (3.02)	3.78 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
45.3%

Draw
30.1%

Guaraní Asuncion
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

31%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

22.6%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CRB Maceio's performance.

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CRB Maceio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.4%	12.9%	17.7%

CRB Maceio - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 43 - 69.4%). Guaraní will win (votes: 11 - 17.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CRB: 57.9% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 6).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Guaraní could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match CRB is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches CRB won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams CRB won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
08.01.21	CRB Maceio - Confiança	2:0 ✺
29.12.20	Avaí - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
26.12.20	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
20.12.20	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
17.12.20	CRB Maceio - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWL
- Guaraní Asuncion
Brazilian Serie B
05.01.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
02.01.21	Guaraní Asuncion - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.12.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	2:3 penalties ✺
27.12.20	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
10.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - CRB Maceio	3:1
11.10.19	Guaraní Asuncion - CRB Maceio	1:0
12.07.19	CRB Maceio - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1
07.09.18	CRB Maceio - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1
26.05.18	Guaraní Asuncion - CRB Maceio	2:0
11.11.17	Guaraní Asuncion - CRB Maceio	2:1
22.07.17	CRB Maceio - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1

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