The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Londrina 35.7%
Draw 30.7%
Vila Nova 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.3%
30.7%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
30.5%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
28.6%
28.6%
Londrina - Vila Nova Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 13. Andre Dhominique 3. Yago Lincoln 15. Gabriel Lacerda 34. Heron 5. Andre Luiz 8. Lucas Marques (C) 18. Paulinho Moccelin 96. Thalis 11. Iago Teles 9. Bruno Santos
1. Helton Leite (G) 20. Nathan Camargo 3. Tiago Pagnussat 4. Pedro Romano 6. Higor 8. Willian Maranhao 15. Dudu 11. Ryan 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 9. Gustavo Puskas
Substitutes
17. Andre Cardoso 28. Caio Maia 55. Caio Rafael 27. Caio Rodrigues 20. Fabiano 32. Joao Tavares 53. Joao Vitor 29. Kaue Leonardo 1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 6. Rafael Monteiro 19. Rodriguez E. 7. Vitinho Mota
7. Andre Luis 33. Bruno Xavier 38. Caio Marcelo 29. Dalberson (G) 31. Dodo 2. Elias 18. Enzo Bizzotto 22. Hayner 17. Kerlon 14. Nunes S. 13. Willian Formiga
Coaches
Rogerio Micale
Guto Ferreira
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Gustavo Puskas 🟨,
6', Lucas Marques 🟨,
12', Willian Maranhao 🟨,
17', Iago Teles 🟥,
39', Paulinho Moccelin 🟨,
45+1', Pedro Romano 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nathan Camargo ↓, Hayner ↑,
46', Willian Maranhao ↓, Enzo Bizzotto ↑,
46', Gustavo Puskas ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
59', Dudu 🟨,
59', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Vitinho Mota ↑,
62', Pedro Romano 🟨,
63', Andre Dhominique 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Andre Luis ⚽, Enzo Bizzotto (A),
66', Janderson ↓, Caio Marcelo ↑,
68', Andre Dhominique 🟨,
70', Thalis ↓, Kaue Leonardo ↑,
70', Heron ↓, Rafael Monteiro ↑,
77', Dudu ↓, Willian Formiga ↑,
78', Andre Luiz ↓, Caio Rafael ↑,
78', Lucas Marques ↓, Fabiano ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 1.
Londrina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Vila Nova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vila Nova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Londrina has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Londrina: Kevyn
(Muscle Injury)
Wallace
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Vila Nova: Anderson Jesus
(Yellow Cards)
Rafa Silva
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Londrina: Caio Rodrigues
(Injury)
Gilberto
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso
(Injury)
Joao Vieira
(Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Londrina won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
Brazil
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Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 
Rodriguez E. 
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