Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Ecuador	11:30	Zapping, Zapping Sports


	El Nacional		Deportivo Santo Domingo

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.20	3.00
	2.26	3.25	3.13
	2.14	3.22	3.23	Watch
	2.13	3.13	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.11)	3.2 ↓ (3.23)	3.12 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Nacional
42.3%

Draw
28.5%

Deportivo Santo Domingo
29.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

28.3%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Deportivo Santo Domingo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Santo Domingo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

El Nacional - Deportivo Santo Domingo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 2, ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

El Nacional may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with El Nacional holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, El Nacional has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for El Nacional against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Nacional
Ecuadorian Serie B
07.10.26	22 de Julio - El Nacional	2:5 ✺
03.10.26	LDU Portoviejo - El Nacional	3:2 ✺
25.09.26	El Nacional - Cumbayá	0:3 ✺
17.09.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	El Nacional - 22 de Julio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW
- Deportivo Santo Domingo
Ecuadorian Serie B
08.10.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - LDU Portoviejo	2:2 ✺
01.10.26	Cumbayá - Deportivo Santo Domingo	0:3 ✺
27.09.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Gualaceo	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	LDU Portoviejo - Deportivo Santo Domingo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
17.09.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - El Nacional	1:0
10.06.26	El Nacional - Deportivo Santo Domingo	0:0
Ecuadorian Copa
03.09.24	Deportivo Santo Domingo - El Nacional	2:3

El Nacional - Deportivo Santo Domingo