Match Info

Serie B - Round 14

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports


	El Nacional		Deportivo Santo Domingo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.00	2.40
	2.78	2.92	2.45	Watch
	2.89	3.15	2.56
	2.89	2.92	2.63	Watch
	2.75	2.80	2.50
	2.75	3.26	2.50	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.29)	3.01 ↓ (3.3)	2.51 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Nacional
32.9%

Draw
30.5%

Deportivo Santo Domingo
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.3%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26.6%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Nacional's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Santo Domingo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Santo Domingo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Santo Domingo than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Santo Domingo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

El Nacional - Deportivo Santo Domingo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

El Nacional has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

D Santo Domingo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

El Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, El Nacional won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Nacional
Ecuadorian Serie B
07.06.26	Cuenca Juniors - El Nacional	4:1 ✺
31.05.26	El Nacional - LDU Portoviejo	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
28.05.26	El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:4 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.05.26	San Antonio - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	9 de Octubre - El Nacional	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Deportivo Santo Domingo
Ecuadorian Serie B
05.06.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - 22 de Julio	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Gualaceo - Deportivo Santo Domingo	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Atlético Rojiblanco	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Santo Domingo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Copa
03.09.24	Deportivo Santo Domingo - El Nacional	2:3

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