Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 3

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario La Granja (Curicó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Curicó Unido		Ñublense

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	2.85	3.10	2.25
	2.98	3.1	2.3
	2.82	3.25	2.49
	3.18	3.1	2.31	Watch
	2.8	3	2.45
	2.78	2.99	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.22)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	2.36 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curicó Unido
31.6%

Draw
29.6%

Ñublense
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

28.1%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ñublense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Curicó Unido - Ñublense Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vergara T. (G) 27. Alfaro J. 9. Benegas L. (C) 4. Colombo R. 37. Guzman R. 17. Inostroza B. 23. Lopez L. 14. Medina C. 21. Ormeno E. 10. Retamales J. 15. Sanhueza H.	25. Munoz H. (G) 6. Calderon P. 18. Cespedes D. 23. Gonzalez J. 27. Guzman V. 35. Mansilla C. 9. Rami F. 13. Saavedra D. (C) 3. Salomon C. 16. Sanhueza D. 22. Valdes A.
Substitutes
6. Acevedo D. 11. Aliaga I. 29. Avendano D. 41. Jacinto R. 40. Oliver F. 18. Perez F. 12. Ruz J. (G) 38. Saldivia V. 3. Sarria G.	33. Araneda M. 12. Chandia C. (G) 11. Molina Canto L. 24. Montecinos C. 36. Munoz B. 7. Ovelar F. 31. Poblete J. 2. Reyes F. 17. Toledo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Benegas L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sanhueza D. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Alfaro J. ⚽,
54', Guzman V. ↓, Molina Canto L. ↑,
61', Mansilla C. ↓, Poblete J. ↑,
77', Gonzalez J. ↓, Montecinos C. ↑,
85', Salomon C. 🟨,
86', Alfaro J. ↓, Saldivia V. ↑,
90+1', Montecinos C. 🟨,
90+2', Inostroza B. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
90+12', Benegas L. ↓, Aliaga I. ↑,
90+12', Retamales J. ↓, Jacinto R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ñublense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Curicó Unido won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
08.06.26	Deportes Temuco - Curicó Unido	0:1 ✺
01.06.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Deportes Iquique - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Curicó Unido - Santiago Wanderers	0:3 ✺
11.05.26	Curicó Unido - San Marcos de Arica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWTLT
- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Ñublense - Huachipato	2:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
06.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.05.26	Cobresal - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Colo-Colo - Ñublense	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
10.05.25	Curicó Unido - Ñublense	2:1
26.01.25	Ñublense - Curicó Unido	3:2
Chilean Primera Division
23.09.23	Curicó Unido - Ñublense	0:3
17.03.23	Ñublense - Curicó Unido	1:2
31.10.22	Curicó Unido - Ñublense	1:2
22.05.22	Ñublense - Curicó Unido	3:1
11.10.21	Curicó Unido - Ñublense	0:0

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