Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 21 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	Curicó Unido		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.2
	3.7	3	2.15
	3.31	3.15	2.36
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.48	3.32	2.13	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.39)	3.15 ↓ (3.17)	2.21 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curicó Unido
27.9%

Draw
29.7%

Cerro Porteño
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Curicó Unido's form might have worsened.

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerro Porteño's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	37.5%	56.2%

Curicó Unido - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Curicó Unido will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Porteño: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Curicó Unido is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerro Porteño is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerro Porteño will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curicó Unido
Chilean Primera Division
16.02.23	Curicó Unido - Deportes Copiapó	1:2 ✺
10.02.23	Unión La Calera - Curicó Unido	3:2 ✺
03.02.23	Curicó Unido - Audax Italiano	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Universidad Católica - Curicó Unido	3:1 ✺
22.01.23	Curicó Unido - Coquimbo Unido	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.02.23	Guaireña - Cerro Porteño	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.23	Cerro Porteño - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWTW

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