Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 11

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Curzon Ashton		Boston United

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.3
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.7	3.4	2.4
	2.73	3.27	2.59
	2.4	3.2	2.7
	2.74	3.34	2.4
	2.7	3.3	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.17)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	2.42 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
34.3%

Draw
27.8%

Boston United
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.3%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

27.3%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Curzon Ashton's form might have worsened.

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boston United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Curzon Ashton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boston United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Curzon Ashton - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Curzon Ashton won 1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Curzon Ashton won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Curzon Ashton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Curzon Ashton - Chorley	2:1 ✺
English National League North
23.09.23	Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
English National League North
09.09.23	Curzon Ashton - Chorley	0:1 ✺
05.09.23	Peterborough Sports - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWLT
- Boston United
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Rushall Olympic - Boston United	0:1 ✺
English National League North
23.09.23	Boston United - Chester	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Alfreton Town - Boston United	4:0 ✺
05.09.23	Darlington - Boston United	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Boston United - Blyth Spartans	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
22.04.23	Curzon Ashton - Boston United	2:2
22.10.22	Boston United - Curzon Ashton	0:1
09.04.22	Curzon Ashton - Boston United	0:4
28.08.21	Boston United - Curzon Ashton	2:1
06.02.21	Curzon Ashton - Boston United	Canceled
07.03.20	Curzon Ashton - Boston United	1:1
07.01.20	Boston United - Curzon Ashton	0:0

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