Match Info

National League North - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Tameside Stadium (Ashton-under-Lyne)


	Curzon Ashton		South Shields

	1	X	2
	3.5	4	1.8
	3.35	3.75	1.9
	3.51	3.99	1.89
	7.20	5.05	1.35	Watch
	3.46	3.66	1.92
	2.83	3.33	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (2.65)	3.96 ↑ (3.4)	1.86 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
24.1%

Draw
24.2%

South Shields
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

26.9%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

26.8%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Curzon Ashton's form might have worsened.

South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Shields's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Curzon Ashton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South Shields, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Curzon Ashton - South Shields Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Curzon Ashton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Blackett P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 0 - 2, Kelly C. ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, Holmes B. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Curzon Ashton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Curzon Ashton - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.51%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Curzon Ashton - Hebburn Town	4:1 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Bedford Town - Curzon Ashton	2:2 ✺
02.09.25	Curzon Ashton - Chorley	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Curzon Ashton - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
25.08.25	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWLW
- South Shields FC
English FA Cup
13.09.25	South Shields - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Southport - South Shields	0:0 ✺
02.09.25	South Shields - Radcliffe	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	South Shields - Buxton	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Bedford Town - South Shields	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.12.24	Curzon Ashton - South Shields	3:0
17.08.24	South Shields - Curzon Ashton	1:2
01.04.24	Curzon Ashton - South Shields	2:0
21.11.23	South Shields - Curzon Ashton	0:0

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