Match Info

Date: 23 November 2021, Tuesday


	Curzon Ashton		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2
	3.15	3.4	2
	3.1	3.45	2.05
	3.19	3.51	2.14
	3	3.2	2.15
	3.22	3.48	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.92)	3.41 (3.41)	2.07 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
29.3%

Draw
26.7%

Gateshead
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26.7%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

20%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Curzon Ashton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gateshead could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Curzon Ashton - Gateshead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Curzon Ashton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gateshead is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Curzon Ashton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gateshead will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Curzon Ashton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Curzon Ashton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
20.11.21	Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton	0:0 ✺
13.11.21	Curzon Ashton - York City	0:0 ✺
06.11.21	Curzon Ashton - Fylde	2:1 ✺
23.10.21	Spennymoor Town - Curzon Ashton	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
16.10.21	Curzon Ashton - Chesterfield	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TTWTL
- Gateshead
English National League North
20.11.21	Spennymoor Town - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
16.11.21	Altrincham - Gateshead	2:3 ✺
English National League North
13.11.21	Gateshead - Alfreton Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.11.21	Gateshead - Altrincham	2:2 ✺
English National League North
30.10.21	Fylde - Gateshead	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
10.11.20	Gateshead - Curzon Ashton	1:0
08.02.20	Curzon Ashton - Gateshead	0:1
05.11.19	Gateshead - Curzon Ashton	3:0

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